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Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV SN, SN360·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Calgary Flames 7-1. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 5-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Elias Pettersson's goal at 3:42 of the second period, which took the Canucks' chances from 56% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 3.9 to 3.0; shots on goal were CGY 30, VAN 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 1.1 goals below expected; Thatcher Demko stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. J.T. Miller (2 G, 2 A), 2. Elias Pettersson (2 G, 1 A), 3. Bo Horvat (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    J. Miller2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    E. Pettersson2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    B. Horvat2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY01101019130
VANVAN011513214738

Scoring

8 goals

2nd period

  1. VAN
    Q. Hughes (36), B. Boeser (14)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    3:42
  2. VAN
    J. Miller(19)PPG
    snapxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    0-2
    10:18
  3. VAN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.22win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    10:50
  4. VAN
    B. Horvat(17)PPG
    J. Miller (36), B. Boeser (15)
    snapxG 0.24win prob +2 pts
    0-4
    18:42
  5. VAN
    J. Miller(20)Penalty shot
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.34win prob +1 pts
    0-5
    19:55

3rd period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.05
    0-6
    4:33
  2. VAN
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.24
    0-7
    7:23
  3. CGY
    backhandxG 0.14
    1-7
    17:53

Penalties

CGY 34 PIM·VAN 2 PIM

1st

  • 7:24CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Slashingdrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min

2nd

  • 2:20CGYBlake Coleman · Holdingdrawn by Travis Hamonic2 min
  • 9:47CGYSean Monahan · High stickingdrawn by Tyler Motte2 min
  • 17:26CGYBlake Coleman · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Myers2 min
  • 19:55CGYRasmus Andersson · Ps covering puck in crease0 min

3rd

  • 6:30VANTravis Hamonic · Holdingdrawn by Trevor Lewis2 min
  • 8:33CGYDillon Dube · High stickingdrawn by Tyler Myers2 min
  • 13:49CGYMilan Lucic · Hookingdrawn by Tyler Myers2 min
  • 16:43CGYJohnny Gaudreau · Misconduct10 min
  • 18:26CGYMilan Lucic · Misconduct10 min
  • 18:26CGYAndrew Mangiapane · High stickingdrawn by Tanner Pearson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalCGY goalFinal: VAN 100%

Biggest swing: Elias Pettersson, 2nd 3:42 — VAN 56% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Miller · Goal · xG 0.34E. Pettersson · Goal · xG 0.24B. Horvat · Goal · xG 0.24B. Horvat · Goal · xG 0.22N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.19V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.19J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.18V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.17N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.16B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.14E. Pettersson · Goal · xG 0.13T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.13T. Motte · Missed · xG 0.12M. Highmore · On goal · xG 0.10J. Miller · Goal · xG 0.10B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.10C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.09T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.08E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.08B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.07E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.07L. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.07B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.07B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.07E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.06T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.06C. Garland · Goal · xG 0.05O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.04V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.04T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.04Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.03C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.03O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.02B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.01E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.01T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.01V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.01
VAN7 G · 4.0 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsVAN
3.01 G
All situations
7 G3.9
2.71 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.00 G
Power play
3 G1.6
0.30 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY35%65%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.95 – 3.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsVAN
30
Shots on goal
38
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/1
Power play
3/7
34
Penalty minutes
2
38
Hits
30
17
Blocked shots
25
7
Giveaways
7
7
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44E. GudbransonD000020.09320—23:43
28E. LindholmC000-260.780005620:35
4R. AnderssonD000-220.18330—20:35
16N. ZadorovD000000.00510—20:13
8C. TanevD000000.00240—19:47
55N. HanifinD000-110.13310—18:51
11M. BacklundC011+110.202003616:59
19M. TkachukL000-220.21102—16:17
88A. MangiapaneL101+140.6210210016:14
58O. KylingtonD000010.09020—15:58
13J. GaudreauL000-200.000010—15:46
20B. ColemanL011+130.25204—13:40
23S. MonahanC000-110.033025813:38
73T. ToffoliC000-230.1730010013:01
22T. LewisC000020.08520012:54
17M. LucicL000-100.002112—12:18
29D. DubeC000020.12202010:45
63A. RuzickaC000000.011105608:03
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(L)21183.8571.95-1.0538:14
80D. Vladar17134.7652.00-2.0021:46

Season series

CGY leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).