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Golden Knights at Jets
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
3
Winnipeg Jets
▸7
FinalTV ATTSN-RM, TSN3·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Vegas Golden Knights 7-3. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikolaj Ehlers's goal at 9:04 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 71% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.0 to 2.7; shots on goal were VGK 38, WPG 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Laurent Brossoit stopped 9 of 13 (.692), 2.5 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 35 of 38 (.921). Three stars: 1. Logan Stanley (1 G, 1 A), 2. Adam Lowry (1 G), 3. Josh Morrissey (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    L. Stanley1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    A. Lowry1 G
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    J. Morrissey1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK07112219338
WPGWPG293727723

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    B. Wheeler(9)
    P. Stastny (14), M. Scheifele (30)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    18:08
  2. WPG
    K. Connor(38)
    P. Dubois (24), L. Stanley (12)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    18:41

2nd period

  1. VGK
    N. Roy(11)
    Z. Whitecloud (9), W. Carrier (11)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    6:49
  2. WPG
    N. Ehlers(16)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.18win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    9:04
  3. WPG
    L. Stanley(1)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.07win prob +8 pts
    1-4
    11:09
  4. WPG
    M. Scheifele(23)
    K. Connor (33), J. Morrissey (18)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +2 pts
    1-5
    18:25

3rd period

  1. VGK
    A. Pietrangelo(9)PPG
    N. Patrick (5), D. Coghlan (9)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +1 pts
    2-5
    4:34
  2. VGK
    M. Amadio(6)
    J. Leschyshyn (4)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +3 pts
    3-5
    9:31
  3. WPG
    J. Morrissey(8)PPG
    K. Connor (34), B. Wheeler (36)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +2 pts
    3-6
    10:33
  4. WPG
    A. Lowry(9)SHG
    N. Schmidt (25)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +1 pts
    3-7
    13:34

Penalties

VGK 21 PIM·WPG 9 PIM

1st

  • 10:45WPGLogan Stanley · Fightingdrawn by Keegan Kolesar5 min
  • 10:45VGKKeegan Kolesar · Fightingdrawn by Logan Stanley5 min

2nd

  • 16:17VGKEvgenii Dadonov · Holdingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min

3rd

  • 4:08WPGBrenden Dillon · High stickingdrawn by William Karlsson2 min
  • 4:41VGKWilliam Carrier · High stickingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
  • 10:29VGKJonathan Marchessault · Misconduct10 min
  • 10:29VGKJonathan Marchessault · Slashingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
  • 12:34WPGNeal Pionk · Slashingdrawn by Alex Pietrangelo2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalVGK goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Nikolaj Ehlers, 2nd 9:04 — WPG 71% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lowry · Goal · xG 0.22M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.22M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.21N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.18A. Brooks · On goal · xG 0.14E. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.13P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.13N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.12P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.12B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.12B. Wheeler · Goal · xG 0.11J. Morrissey · Goal · xG 0.10B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.09J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.08K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.08P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.07A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.07L. Stanley · Goal · xG 0.07E. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.07P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.06K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.06K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.05M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03K. Vesalainen · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.00L. Stanley · Missed · xG 0.00
WPG7 G · 2.7 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsWPG
3.03 G
All situations
7 G2.7
2.32 G
Even strength
5 G1.8
0.51 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.20 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK54%46%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.92 – 2.68

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsWPG
38
Shots on goal
23
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/2
Power play
1/3
21
Penalty minutes
9
16
Hits
27
15
Blocked shots
15
18
Giveaways
19
9
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7A. PietrangeloD101-140.16220—25:49
27S. TheodoreD000040.19120—23:15
14N. HagueD000-340.15030—23:09
2Z. WhitecloudD011010.03200—21:56
71W. KarlssonC000-120.650006019:56
9J. EichelC000-150.572502718:21
20C. StephensonC000-300.000006016:40
81J. MarchessaultR000010.011012—16:26
10N. RoyC101-130.33000016:06
22M. AmadioR101020.23110—14:41
52D. CoghlanD011-230.11010—14:21
28W. CarrierL011000.00102—14:02
63E. DadonovL000-440.11002—12:54
15J. LeschyshynC011010.131005512:25
41N. PatrickC011-120.141102012:18
46J. RondbjergR000020.12100—11:42
55K. KolesarR000-200.00305—11:24
94B. PachalD000-100.04000—10:31
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39L. Brossoit(L)1394.6921.51-2.4931:09
36L. Thompson1073.7001.18-1.8228:51

Season series

WPG leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).