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Jets at Golden Knights
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Vegas Golden Knights

Final/OTTV ATTSN-RM, TSN3·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Vegas Golden Knights 5-4 in overtime, Kyle Connor scoring at 2:39. The Jets came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Connor's goal at 2:39 of overtime, which took the Jets' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 5.2 to 3.8; shots on goal were WPG 37, VGK 46. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 42 of 46 (.913); Laurent Brossoit stopped 32 of 37 (.865). Three stars: 1. Mattias Janmark (2 G), 2. Kyle Connor (1 G, 1 A), 3. Michael Amadio (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    M. Janmark2 G
  2. ★★
    WPG
    K. Connor1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    M. Amadio1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
WPGWPG01021121214537
VGKVGK2220142901446

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.13win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    13:05
  2. VGK
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    16:59

2nd period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    2:19
  2. WPG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    2:39

3rd period

  1. WPG
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +26 pts
    3-2
    2:28
  2. WPG
    A. Copp(8)PPG
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    4-2
    4:16
  3. VGK
    wristxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    4-3
    13:37
  4. VGK
    N. Roy (11), S. Theodore (18)
    deflectedxG 0.13win prob +49 pts
    4-4
    19:51

Overtime

  1. WPG
    snapxG 0.17win prob +51 pts
    5-4
    2:39

Penalties

WPG 2 PIM·VGK 6 PIM

1st

  • 10:32WPGserved by J. Harkins · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 11:42VGKChandler Stephenson · Holdingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min

3rd

  • 3:30VGKBrett Howden · Trippingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
  • 6:43VGKZach Whitecloud · Slashingdrawn by Jansen Harkins2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalWPG goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Kyle Connor, OT 2:39 — WPG 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.28K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.22K. Kolesar · Missed · xG 0.17W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.14M. Amadio · Goal · xG 0.13M. Janmark · Goal · xG 0.12R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.11W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.11R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.11M. Janmark · Goal · xG 0.10S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.10R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.10W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.10W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.10E. Dadonov · Goal · xG 0.09A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.09M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.08J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.08N. Patrick · Missed · xG 0.08N. Patrick · On goal · xG 0.08E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.08W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.07W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.07A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.06M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.06R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.06W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.05J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.04N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.04R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.04J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.04W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.04S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.04N. Patrick · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Whitecloud · Missed · xG 0.03S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.03J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.03D. Coghlan · On goal · xG 0.03N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.02B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.02W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02D. Coghlan · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.02D. Coghlan · On goal · xG 0.02B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.01D. Coghlan · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.01D. Coghlan · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.01E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK4 G · 3.8 xG · 64 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsVGK
5.25 G
All situations
4 G3.8
3.64 G
Even strength
4 G3.3
1.01 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 114 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG62%38%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.47 – 3.67

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsVGK
37
Shots on goal
46
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/3
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
31
Hits
20
20
Blocked shots
21
5
Giveaways
10
11
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55M. ScheifeleC011020.470204225:07
4N. PionkD000+130.04210—24:33
81K. ConnorL112+130.62010—23:24
80P. DuboisC000-230.701003121:56
44J. MorrisseyD022-200.09620—21:53
25P. StastnyC101030.941008821:32
27N. EhlersL000050.52000—19:12
2D. DeMeloD011-200.00320—18:49
88N. SchmidtD000030.17100—18:49
5B. DillonD011+100.00530—18:11
9A. CoppC101-160.58130017:34
64L. StanleyD000+120.15420—16:50
12J. HarkinsC101+120.24220016:37
17A. LowryC000000.002005315:00
87K. ReichelC101020.31110011:32
93K. VesalainenL000000.00110—07:06
21D. ToninatoC000030.3710010006:29
19D. GustafssonC000000.00000002:19
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)46424.9133.75-0.2561:43

Season series

WPG leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).