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Red Wings at Flames
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
0
Calgary Flames
▸3
FinalTV BSDET, SNW·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Detroit Red Wings 3-0. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Elias Lindholm's goal at 9:22 of the first period, which took the Flames' chances from 57% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.6 to 1.3; shots on goal were DET 19, CGY 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Thomas Greiss stopped 40 of 43 (.930); Jacob Markstrom stopped 19 of 19 (1.000), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jacob Markstrom (19 saves, 1.000), 2. Elias Lindholm (1 G), 3. Rasmus Andersson (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    J. Markstrom19 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    CGY
    E. Lindholm1 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    R. Andersson1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET0104014019
CGYCGY119012212343

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    E. Lindholm(30)PPG
    R. Andersson (34), M. Tkachuk (40)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    9:22

3rd period

  1. CGY
    T. Toffoli(17)PPG
    M. Tkachuk (41), J. Gaudreau (52)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +10 pts
    0-2
    8:25
  2. CGY
    B. Coleman(13)
    C. Tanev (16), M. Stone (1)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +2 pts
    0-3
    15:38

Penalties

DET 11 PIM·CGY 9 PIM

1st

  • 8:31DETMarc Staal · Cross checkingdrawn by Trevor Lewis2 min

2nd

  • 13:08CGYNikita Zadorov · High stickingdrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min

3rd

  • 8:07DETVladislav Namestnikov · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 9:51CGYSean Monahan · Boardingdrawn by Luke Witkowski2 min
  • 9:51CGYMilan Lucic · Fightingdrawn by Givani Smith5 min
  • 9:51DETGivani Smith · Fightingdrawn by Milan Lucic5 min
  • 15:38DETserved by F. Zadina · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalDET goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Elias Lindholm, 1st 9:22 — CGY 57% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Lucic · Missed · xG 0.46R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.29M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.18A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.14D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.14B. Coleman · Goal · xG 0.13N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.13T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.12A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.11E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.10B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.10T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.09T. Lewis · Missed · xG 0.08M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.08E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.08M. Lucic · Missed · xG 0.07M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.07J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.07S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.07E. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.07B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.06M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ruzicka · Missed · xG 0.05T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.05M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.04T. Lewis · Missed · xG 0.04E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.04M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.04J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.04C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.04A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.03M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.03J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ruzicka · On goal · xG 0.03N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.03T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.03M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.02M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gudbranson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.02J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.01T. Lewis · Missed · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.00T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY3 G · 3.6 xG · 60 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsCGY
1.30 G
All situations
3 G3.6
1.00 G
Even strength
1 G2.7
0.30 G
Power play
2 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET19%81%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.32 – 3.14

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsCGY
19
Shots on goal
43
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/2
Power play
2/3
11
Penalty minutes
9
13
Hits
23
15
Blocked shots
15
5
Giveaways
16
2
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD000000.01020—25:04
2N. LeddyD000000.02110—22:40
17F. HronekD000-120.11030—21:02
71D. LarkinC000010.021005220:43
23L. RaymondL000030.40000—19:05
82J. OesterleD000-120.02120—18:35
89S. GagnerC000-120.090003318:33
90J. VelenoC000-100.020102018:32
92V. NamestnikovC000020.19012017:35
15J. VranaL000-130.13200—16:39
18M. StaalD000000.03212—15:27
70T. StecherD000010.01120—13:59
24P. SuterC000000.000003813:08
48G. SmithR000010.063055012:19
27M. RasmussenC000010.180204312:11
11F. ZadinaR000010.02100—12:01
73A. ErneL000000.00000—11:43
20L. WitkowskiD000000.00100—09:18
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29T. Greiss(L)43403.9303.16+0.1658:17

Season series

CGY leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).