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Calgary Flames at Detroit Red Wings

FinalTV BSDET, SN·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Detroit Red Wings 3-0. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andrew Mangiapane's goal at 14:33 of the first period, which took the Flames' chances from 61% to 77%. Expected goals were close — CGY 1.9, DET 2.0; shots on goal were CGY 29, DET 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 33 of 33 (1.000), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jacob Markstrom (33 saves, 1.000), 2. Erik Gudbranson (2 A), 3. Lucas Raymond.

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    J. Markstrom33 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    CGY
    E. Gudbranson2 A
  3. ★★★
    DET
    L. Raymond

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY21104114329
DETDET01201407033

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    snapxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    10:06
  2. CGY
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    14:33

3rd period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.45win prob +1 pts
    3-0
    17:42

Penalties

CGY 11 PIM·DET 9 PIM

1st

  • 2:34DETGivani Smith · Fightingdrawn by Milan Lucic5 min
  • 2:34CGYMilan Lucic · Fightingdrawn by Givani Smith5 min

2nd

  • 2:24CGYBrett Ritchie · Slashingdrawn by Givani Smith2 min
  • 8:14CGYDillon Dube · Interferencedrawn by Marc Staal2 min
  • 15:49DETGivani Smith · Slashingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min

3rd

  • 0:49CGYMikael Backlund · Trippingdrawn by Pius Suter2 min
  • 1:44DETDylan Larkin · Hookingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalCGY goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Andrew Mangiapane, 1st 14:33 — CGY 61% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.26L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.16M. Stephens · Missed · xG 0.13M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.10M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.09F. Zadina · Missed · xG 0.09R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.07M. Stephens · On goal · xG 0.07F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rasmussen · Missed · xG 0.06M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.06L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.05M. Stephens · Missed · xG 0.05N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.05P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.04T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.04A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.04L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.04L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.04T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.04P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.03A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.03N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.03S. Gagner · Missed · xG 0.03M. Stephens · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeKeyser · On goal · xG 0.02G. Lindstrom · On goal · xG 0.02G. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02M. Stephens · On goal · xG 0.02M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.02R. Fabbri · Missed · xG 0.02F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeKeyser · Missed · xG 0.01F. Zadina · Missed · xG 0.01R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.01M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.01G. Lindstrom · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.01N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.01F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.01D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.00G. Lindstrom · On goal · xG 0.00M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.00L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.00D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.00
DET0 G · 2.0 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsDET
1.92 G
All situations
0 G2.0
1.22 G
Even strength
0 G1.9
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY40%60%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.45 – 1.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsDET
29
Shots on goal
33
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/2
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
9
22
Hits
13
7
Blocked shots
13
4
Giveaways
12
0
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4R. AnderssonD000+120.02000—22:18
55N. HanifinD000+210.05010—21:47
8C. TanevD000010.01100—21:44
44E. GudbransonD022+240.07220—18:45
13J. GaudreauL022+210.11000—18:22
58O. KylingtonD000040.11100—17:52
28E. LindholmC101+220.163005017:51
19M. TkachukL101+220.65210—17:00
6J. VälimäkiD000+100.00100—15:54
20B. ColemanL000030.13210—15:27
11M. BacklundC000010.091125515:16
22T. LewisC000020.09100015:06
23S. MonahanC000010.040005014:57
29D. DubeC011+110.141025014:24
88A. MangiapaneL101+110.10000—12:47
17M. LucicL000000.00205—11:51
18T. PitlickC000000.04200011:38
24B. RitchieR000+130.09312—11:01
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(W)333301.0001.96+1.9660:00

Season series

CGY leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).