Calgary Flames at Detroit Red Wings
Recap
written from the game dataThe Calgary Flames beat the Detroit Red Wings 3-0. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andrew Mangiapane's goal at 14:33 of the first period, which took the Flames' chances from 61% to 77%. Expected goals were close — CGY 1.9, DET 2.0; shots on goal were CGY 29, DET 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 33 of 33 (1.000), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jacob Markstrom (33 saves, 1.000), 2. Erik Gudbranson (2 A), 3. Lucas Raymond.
Three stars
- ★J. Markstrom33 saves, 1.000

- ★★E. Gudbranson2 A

- ★★★L. Raymond

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals1st period
1-010:06
2-014:33
3rd period
3-017:42
Penalties
1st
- 2:34
Givani Smith · Fightingdrawn by Milan Lucic5 min
- 2:34
Milan Lucic · Fightingdrawn by Givani Smith5 min
2nd
- 2:24
Brett Ritchie · Slashingdrawn by Givani Smith2 min
- 8:14
Dillon Dube · Interferencedrawn by Marc Staal2 min
- 15:49
Givani Smith · Slashingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
3rd
- 0:49
Mikael Backlund · Trippingdrawn by Pius Suter2 min
- 1:44
Dylan Larkin · Hookingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Andrew Mangiapane, 1st 14:33 — 61% → 77%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.92 G
- All situations
- 0 G2.0
- 1.22 G
- Even strength
- 0 G1.9
- 0.10 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.0
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.45 – 1.91
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 29
- Shots on goal
- 33
- 51%
- Faceoffs
- 49%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/3
- 11
- Penalty minutes
- 9
- 22
- Hits
- 13
- 7
- Blocked shots
- 13
- 4
- Giveaways
- 12
- 0
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
CGY leads 2-0
3@
0this game
0@
3Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
