Skip to content
Flyers at Hurricanes
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
1
Carolina Hurricanes
▸3
FinalTV ABC, ESPN+·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Philadelphia Flyers 3-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Martinook's goal at 16:10 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 52% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.0 to 1.7; shots on goal were PHI 29, CAR 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Martin Jones stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jordan Martinook (1 G), 2. Derek Stepan (1 A), 3. Frederik Andersen (28 saves, .966).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Martinook1 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    D. Stepan1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    F. Andersen28 saves, .966

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI01011405129
CARCAR01511229336

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. CAR
    S. Lorentz(7)
    D. Stepan (8), J. Chatfield (3)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +18 pts
    0-1
    8:34
  2. PHI
    D. Brassard(6)
    C. Atkinson (23), R. Ristolainen (13)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +21 pts
    1-1
    16:50

3rd period

  1. CAR
    J. Martinook(3)
    V. Trocheck (24), I. Cole (12)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +39 pts
    1-2
    16:10
  2. CAR
    S. Aho(26)EN
    A. Svechnikov (29)
    wristxG 0.70win prob +5 pts
    1-3
    19:39

Penalties

PHI 4 PIM·CAR 4 PIM

1st

  • 13:11PHIPatrick Brown · Cross checkingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 16:44CARJalen Chatfield · Cross checkingdrawn by Gerry Mayhew2 min

2nd

  • 5:12CARJordan Martinook · Trippingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 5:22PHIKevin Hayes · Hookingdrawn by Ian Cole2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalPHI goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Jordan Martinook, 3rd 16:10 — CAR 52% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.70A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.19D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.17D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.16A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.13V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.13J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.13M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.13D. Stepan · Missed · xG 0.11J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.11A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.11J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.10V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.09M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.09V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.09S. Lorentz · Goal · xG 0.08J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.08D. Stepan · Missed · xG 0.08A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.08A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.07E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.07J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.07S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.07V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.06V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.06J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.06B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.06I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.06J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.05J. Martinook · Goal · xG 0.05E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.05J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.05J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.04B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.03J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.03B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.03B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.02J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.02D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.02I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.02N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.02M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.02D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.02A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.01I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bear · Missed · xG 0.01M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.01B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR3 G · 4.0 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsCAR
1.71 G
All situations
2 G4.0
1.31 G
Even strength
2 G3.1
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI23%77%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.64 – 3.22

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsCAR
29
Shots on goal
36
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
20
Hits
18
17
Blocked shots
10
17
Giveaways
19
4
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD000-110.03120—23:13
6T. SanheimD000020.04030—22:38
70R. RistolainenD011-100.00330—22:22
61J. BraunD000010.02200—20:22
89C. AtkinsonR011-140.10000—19:39
28C. GirouxR000+120.123004319:27
45C. YorkD000-120.05100—16:51
19D. BrassardC101+120.260008016:35
11T. KonecnyR000050.28000—16:34
13K. HayesR000040.442022116:23
86J. FarabeeL000-110.03020—15:29
23O. LindblomL000-210.061005013:35
3K. YandleD000-100.01100—13:27
25J. van RiemsdykL000-110.13000—13:00
17Z. MacEwenR000-110.02220—12:44
48M. FrostC000-100.001004312:41
38P. BrownC000-120.052228611:56
20G. MayhewC000-100.00130011:25
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35M. Jones(L)35332.9433.26+1.2657:39

Season series

CAR leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).