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Flyers at Hurricanes
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
▸2
Carolina Hurricanes
1
FinalTV NBCSP, BSSO·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Carolina Hurricanes 2-1. The Hurricanes scored first; the Flyers answered. The Hurricanes led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zack MacEwen's goal at 10:20 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 48% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.4 to 3.1; shots on goal were PHI 28, CAR 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 39 of 40 (.975), 3.4 goals saved above expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Carter Hart (39 saves, .975), 2. Zack MacEwen (1 G), 3. Steven Lorentz (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    C. Hart39 saves, .975
  2. ★★
    PHI
    Z. MacEwen1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    S. Lorentz1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI0607215228
CARCAR013115012140

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. CAR
    S. Lorentz(2)
    J. Fast (2), J. Staal (4)
    deflectedxG 0.22win prob +19 pts
    0-1
    11:14

3rd period

  1. PHI
    J. Farabee(4)
    S. Laughton (1), R. Ristolainen (2)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +26 pts
    1-1
    4:06
  2. PHI
    Z. MacEwen(1)
    J. Braun (7), P. Brown (1)
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +33 pts
    2-1
    10:20

Penalties

PHI 10 PIM·CAR 10 PIM

1st

  • 6:34CARJesperi Kotkaniemi · Hookingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min
  • 8:01PHIJames van Riemsdyk · Trippingdrawn by Teuvo Teravainen2 min
  • 16:47PHIIvan Provorov · Hookingdrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min
  • 17:52CARJordan Staal · Interferencedrawn by Joel Farabee2 min
  • 18:08CARVincent Trocheck · Trippingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min
  • 18:08CARVincent Trocheck · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min

2nd

  • 16:00PHISean Couturier · Hookingdrawn by Jesper Fast2 min
  • 18:12PHIJoel Farabee · High stickingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min

3rd

  • 10:55PHITravis Konecny · Interferencedrawn by Brady Skjei2 min
  • 14:07CARVincent Trocheck · Slashingdrawn by Derick Brassard2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalPHI goalFinal: CAR 0%

Biggest swing: Zack MacEwen, 3rd 10:20 — PHI 48% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.27S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.26T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.23J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.23S. Lorentz · Goal · xG 0.22T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.20D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.19D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.15S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.13A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.13T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.12J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.12J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.12S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.12S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.11A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.10S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.10A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.10T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.09T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.09J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.08T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.08S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.07J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.07J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.07V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.07T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.07J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.06V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.06J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.06V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.05J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.05J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.05V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.05J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.05T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.04T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.04J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.03A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.03J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02J. Leivo · On goal · xG 0.02I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.02T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.01J. Leivo · On goal · xG 0.01B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.01S. Lorentz · Missed · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.01I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.01V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.00D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.00B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR1 G · 4.4 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsCAR
3.12 G
All situations
1 G4.4
2.32 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.20 G
Power play
0 G1.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI23%77%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.50 – 4.34

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsCAR
28
Shots on goal
40
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/5
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
10
16
Hits
12
18
Blocked shots
12
14
Giveaways
18
7
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD000+110.10142—23:03
70R. RistolainenD011+110.04320—22:31
6T. SanheimD000+110.10010—21:02
14S. CouturierC000-120.800022721:00
61J. BraunD011+110.03230—20:46
28C. GirouxR000-140.470004218:52
3K. YandleD000-130.07000—15:41
11T. KonecnyR000-130.34302—15:39
89C. AtkinsonR000010.32110—15:31
86J. FarabeeL101+130.36112—15:23
25J. van RiemsdykL000010.06012—15:02
44N. ThompsonC000+100.00010014:36
21S. LaughtonC011+100.021105914:23
38P. BrownC011+120.050307013:40
23O. LindblomL000010.14100—12:06
19D. BrassardC000020.101002710:33
17Z. MacEwenR101+210.08200—10:06
24N. SeelerD000-110.03000—10:06
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Hart(W)40391.9754.43+3.4360:00

Season series

CAR leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).