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New York Rangers at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the New York Rangers 6-2. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 6-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ivan Barbashev's goal at 13:50 of the first period, which took the Blues' chances from 67% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.6 to 2.8; shots on goal were NYR 29, STL 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 16 of 18 (.889); Ville Husso stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Robert Thomas (2 G), 2. Ville Husso (27 saves, .931), 3. Ryan O'Reilly (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    R. Thomas2 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    V. Husso27 saves, .931
  3. ★★★
    STL
    R. O'Reilly1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR11111404229
STLSTL31639010635

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    J. Kyrou (32), C. Parayko (17)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    13:05
  2. STL
    B. Saad (14), T. Krug (23)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    13:50
  3. STL
    wristxG 0.18win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    15:41
  4. NYR
    R. Strome(13)PPG
    slapxG 0.09win prob +7 pts
    1-3
    18:37

2nd period

  1. STL
    B. Schenn (17), D. Perron (18)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +9 pts
    1-4
    0:15
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.08win prob +3 pts
    1-5
    7:07
  3. STL
    wristxG 0.04win prob +2 pts
    1-6
    7:45
  4. NYR
    K. Miller(5)PPG
    A. Panarin (48), A. Fox (50)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +1 pts
    2-6
    12:23

Penalties

NYR 13 PIM·STL 13 PIM

1st

  • 4:31NYRRyan Lindgren · Hookingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min
  • 5:24NYRJonny Brodzinski · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 8:05NYRRyan Lindgren · Trippingdrawn by Alexey Toropchenko2 min
  • 17:48STLRobert Bortuzzo · Holding the stickdrawn by Barclay Goodrow2 min

2nd

  • 4:52STLNiko Mikkola · Fightingdrawn by Dryden Hunt5 min
  • 4:52NYRDryden Hunt · Fightingdrawn by Niko Mikkola5 min
  • 9:20STLJordan Kyrou · Cross checkingdrawn by Julien Gauthier2 min
  • 11:19STLJustin Faulk · Slashingdrawn by Filip Chytil2 min

3rd

  • 14:31NYRAlexis Lafrenière · Roughingdrawn by David Perron2 min
  • 14:31STLDavid Perron · Holding the stickdrawn by Alexis Lafrenière2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalNYR goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Ivan Barbashev, 1st 13:50 — STL 67% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. O'Reilly · Goal · xG 0.24J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.20R. Thomas · Goal · xG 0.18J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.17V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.17R. Thomas · Goal · xG 0.15V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.15R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.14I. Barbashev · Goal · xG 0.14R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.14J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.13R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.13A. Toropchenko · Missed · xG 0.12A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.12J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.11T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.10B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.10B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.09J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.08J. Walman · Goal · xG 0.08D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.08D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.07T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.07B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.06J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.06B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.06A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.05B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.05J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.05D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.04R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.04D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.04B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.03R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.03V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.03T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.03J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.02N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.02R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.00B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.00J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.00
STL6 G · 3.6 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsSTL
2.82 G
All situations
6 G3.6
2.10 G
Even strength
6 G2.9
0.72 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR37%63%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.77 – 3.61

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsSTL
29
Shots on goal
35
40%
Faceoffs
60%
2/3
Power play
0/3
13
Penalty minutes
13
27
Hits
18
13
Blocked shots
10
4
Giveaways
5
14
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
79K. MillerD101-130.11220—25:30
8J. TroubaD000-130.35210—23:23
10A. PanarinL011-120.28000—18:16
12P. NemethD000-110.02420—18:11
21B. GoodrowC000030.191005017:48
23A. FoxD022-400.07000—17:46
16R. StromeC101-120.441003316:28
55R. LindgrenD000-400.01214—16:19
45B. SchneiderD000-110.12120—16:17
76J. BrodzinskiC000010.050226715:52
93M. ZibanejadC000-320.072003315:44
20C. KreiderL000-410.12110—14:23
72F. ChytilC000-240.29010013:54
75R. ReavesR000020.12600—13:23
29D. HuntL000-120.18105—13:22
13A. LafrenièreL000-300.00102—13:16
15J. GauthierR000-220.29300—11:19
26T. GettingerL000-100.090105011:00
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev18162.8891.87-0.1339:45
31I. Shesterkin(L)17134.7651.77-2.2320:04

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).