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St. Louis Blues at New York Rangers

FinalTV TNT·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the St. Louis Blues 5-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Blues led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Chris Kreider's goal at 11:40 of the third period, which took the Rangers' chances from 55% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.8 to 2.9; shots on goal were STL 32, NYR 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Ville Husso stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.4 goals below expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 29 of 32 (.906). Three stars: 1. Chris Kreider (1 G), 2. Artemi Panarin (1 G, 2 A), 3. Adam Fox (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    C. Kreider1 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    A. Panarin1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    A. Fox3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL09310013332
NYRNYR1817314529

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    A. Fox (44)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    8:55

2nd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    0-2
    16:36
  2. STL
    B. Saad (13), D. Perron (17)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    17:30
  3. STL
    wristxG 0.12win prob +22 pts
    2-2
    18:37
  4. STL
    snapxG 0.18win prob +24 pts
    3-2
    19:44

3rd period

  1. NYR
    R. Strome (27), D. Hunt (7)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +29 pts
    3-3
    7:27
  2. NYR
    C. Kreider(35)PPG
    A. Fox (45), A. Panarin (44)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +30 pts
    3-4
    11:40
  3. NYR
    A. Fox (46)
    wristxG 0.48win prob +6 pts
    3-5
    18:08

Penalties

STL 9 PIM·NYR 11 PIM

1st

  • 5:19NYRDryden Hunt · Boardingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min
  • 5:35STLVladimir Tarasenko · High stickingdrawn by Kevin Rooney2 min

2nd

  • 2:20NYRRyan Reaves · Interferencedrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min

3rd

  • 9:52STLColton Parayko · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 11:57NYRJacob Trouba · Fightingdrawn by Brayden Schenn5 min
  • 11:57STLBrayden Schenn · Fightingdrawn by Jacob Trouba5 min
  • 15:33NYRAlexis Lafrenière · Slashingdrawn by Brandon Saad2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalSTL goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Chris Kreider, 3rd 11:40 — NYR 55% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Goodrow · Missed · xG 0.70A. Panarin · Goal · xG 0.48A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.19A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.15C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.14M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.14R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.12B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.11R. Strome · Goal · xG 0.10C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.10A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.10K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.09G. McKegg · Missed · xG 0.09A. Lafrenière · Goal · xG 0.08F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.08B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.08F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.08G. McKegg · On goal · xG 0.08C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.07D. Hunt · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.06M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.06D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.05B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.05A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.04C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.04M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.04G. McKegg · Missed · xG 0.04D. Hunt · Missed · xG 0.04R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.04M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.03J. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.03R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hunt · Missed · xG 0.02A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.02P. Nemeth · Goal · xG 0.02J. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.02B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.02A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.01C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.01
NYR5 G · 3.8 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsNYR
2.93 G
All situations
4 G3.8
2.43 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL54%46%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.81 – 2.59

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsNYR
32
Shots on goal
29
67%
Faceoffs
33%
0/3
Power play
1/2
9
Penalty minutes
11
25
Hits
24
6
Blocked shots
23
5
Giveaways
5
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72J. FaulkD000-110.07300—24:25
55C. ParaykoD011020.04012—23:25
47T. KrugD000060.21200—22:10
25J. KyrouR011000.13000—20:55
77N. MikkolaD000000.01130—20:54
89P. BuchnevichL000-250.55100—18:51
90R. O'ReillyC112+130.470007717:48
18R. ThomasC000-210.110006017:36
10B. SchennC000010.082057117:32
49I. BarbashevL101010.12200—17:12
57D. PerronL112+140.41100—16:34
91V. TarasenkoR000-320.13012—15:28
20B. SaadL011+120.29000—15:20
46J. WalmanD000020.06100—11:46
70O. SundqvistC000000.0040010011:33
41R. BortuzzoD000-120.05310—11:09
21T. BozakC000000.130005709:13
54D. JoshuaC000000.00500006:20
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35V. Husso(L)28244.8572.62-1.3858:01

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).