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Winnipeg Jets at New Jersey Devils

FinalTV MSG+ 2, TSN3·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the New Jersey Devils 2-1. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Connor's goal at 19:06 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 47% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.9 to 2.6; shots on goal were WPG 30, NJD 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Eric Comrie stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 2.9 goals saved above expected; Nico Daws stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Eric Comrie (33 saves, .971), 2. Kyle Connor (1 G), 3. Jack Hughes (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    E. Comrie33 saves, .971
  2. ★★
    WPG
    K. Connor1 G
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    J. Hughes1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG1917014230
NJDNJD11501108134

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    snapxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:22
  2. NJD
    J. Hughes(18)PPG
    snapxG 0.14win prob +11 pts
    1-1
    18:27

2nd period

  1. WPG
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +23 pts
    2-1
    19:06

Penalties

WPG 6 PIM·NJD 4 PIM

1st

  • 11:46WPGLogan Stanley · Cross checkingdrawn by Dawson Mercer2 min
  • 17:57WPGBrenden Dillon · Cross checkingdrawn by Jesper Bratt2 min

3rd

  • 2:59WPGDylan DeMelo · Hookingdrawn by Jesper Bratt2 min
  • 11:50NJDTy Smith · Hookingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
  • 18:25NJDDougie Hamilton · Trippingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalWPG goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Kyle Connor, 2nd 19:06 — WPG 47% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.18R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.17P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.17M. Geertsen · Missed · xG 0.16J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.14J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.14J. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.14J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.13D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.13T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.12J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.12M. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.12J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.11N. Bastian · Missed · xG 0.11J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.11Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.10D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.10Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.10J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.09J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.09A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.08P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.08Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.07A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.07Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.07J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.06J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.06M. Geertsen · Missed · xG 0.06J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.05D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.05J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.05M. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.05P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.05J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.04P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.04A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.04Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.04D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.04P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.03J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.03T. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.03A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Geertsen · On goal · xG 0.03P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.03T. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.02T. Smith · Missed · xG 0.02J. Siegenthaler · Missed · xG 0.01J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01
NJD1 G · 3.9 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsNJD
2.62 G
All situations
1 G3.9
2.42 G
Even strength
0 G3.0
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG29%71%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.55 – 3.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsNJD
30
Shots on goal
34
62%
Faceoffs
38%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
17
Hits
10
13
Blocked shots
9
6
Giveaways
11
3
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD000040.20220—26:40
2D. DeMeloD000+110.02132—24:11
55M. ScheifeleC011+110.071006720:22
81K. ConnorL101+150.46000—19:56
4N. PionkD000+210.11210—19:03
26B. WheelerR011+100.02000—18:59
5B. DillonD101+120.19322—17:54
25P. StastnyC000+130.180005016:57
9A. CoppC000010.10000016:55
88N. SchmidtD000010.05100—16:38
80P. DuboisC000+130.212107016:31
17A. LowryC000010.140007316:02
27N. EhlersL000020.27000—15:20
64L. StanleyD000010.20232—14:10
71E. SvechnikovL000+130.32100—13:07
21D. ToninatoC000000.001005008:13
12J. HarkinsC000000.00000007:45
93K. VesalainenL000010.04110—06:47
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1E. Comrie(W)34331.9713.89+2.8960:00

Season series

WPG leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).