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New Jersey Devils at Winnipeg Jets

FinalTV MSG+, TSN3·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the New Jersey Devils 8-4. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Jets led 6-4 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Josh Morrissey's goal at 15:26 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.4 to 2.9; shots on goal were NJD 37, WPG 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Jonathan Bernier stopped 26 of 32 (.813), 3.4 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 33 of 37 (.892), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mark Scheifele (3 G, 1 A), 2. Nikolaj Ehlers (2 G), 3. Blake Wheeler (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    N. Ehlers2 G
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    B. Wheeler3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD212214011437
WPGWPG31232028840

Scoring

12 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:52
  2. WPG
    snapxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    3:52
  3. WPG
    snapxG 0.21win prob +10 pts
    0-3
    7:39
  4. NJD
    wristxG 0.06win prob +9 pts
    1-3
    9:08
  5. NJD
    wristxG 0.26win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    19:36

2nd period

  1. NJD
    snapxG 0.25win prob +15 pts
    3-3
    0:37
  2. NJD
    slapxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    4-3
    1:16
  3. WPG
    P. Dubois (9), A. Copp (12)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +19 pts
    4-4
    10:39
  4. WPG
    wristxG 0.10win prob +21 pts
    4-5
    15:26
  5. WPG
    wristxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    4-6
    19:54

3rd period

  1. WPG
    slapxG 0.06win prob +4 pts
    4-7
    9:36
  2. WPG
    wristxG 0.13
    4-8
    16:33

Penalties

NJD 8 PIM·WPG 4 PIM

1st

  • 7:46WPGJosh Morrissey · Holdingdrawn by Jesper Bratt2 min

2nd

  • 5:10NJDJonas Siegenthaler · High stickingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 11:40NJDPavel Zacha · Hookingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min
  • 18:20NJDMichael McLeod · Trippingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min

3rd

  • 11:58WPGBlake Wheeler · Hookingdrawn by Dougie Hamilton2 min
  • 14:13NJDDougie Hamilton · Slashingdrawn by Andrew Copp2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalNJD goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Josh Morrissey, 2nd 15:26 — WPG 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.27P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.27K. Vesalainen · Goal · xG 0.21K. Vesalainen · On goal · xG 0.19K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.16M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.14M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.14J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.13A. Lowry · Goal · xG 0.13A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.11J. Harkins · Missed · xG 0.11A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.11J. Morrissey · Goal · xG 0.10K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.09M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.08M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.08E. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.08B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.07M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.06J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.06M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.05N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.05N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.05N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.05N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.05K. Vesalainen · On goal · xG 0.05N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.04L. Stanley · Missed · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.03N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.03D. Toninato · Missed · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.02L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.02L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01K. Vesalainen · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01K. Vesalainen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.01A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG8 G · 3.4 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsWPG
2.94 G
All situations
8 G3.4
2.53 G
Even strength
7 G2.6
0.31 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD42%58%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.86 – 3.33

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsWPG
37
Shots on goal
40
37%
Faceoffs
63%
1/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
20
Hits
30
11
Blocked shots
11
13
Giveaways
13
7
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. HamiltonD011050.17102—22:33
28D. SeversonD101-140.26020—21:13
33R. GravesD112020.16210—20:04
13N. HischierC101060.712103019:31
71J. SiegenthalerD000-330.03102—18:39
24T. SmithD011-320.04030—18:20
76P. SubbanD000-210.05000—18:12
18D. MercerC000-400.000101117:51
37P. ZachaC000010.422025017:14
63J. BrattL011+120.26000—16:59
86J. HughesC101-210.26010014:44
20M. McLeodC000-120.105026714:12
16J. VeseyL000-120.26300—14:03
11A. JohnssonL000-120.04100—13:23
59J. KuokkanenC011-100.00000013:01
90T. TatarL011-110.0220010011:36
14N. BastianR000-120.14120—10:33
70J. BoqvistC011010.030004210:16
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
45J. Bernier(L)32266.8132.58-3.4240:00
29M. Blackwood862.7500.80-1.2019:50

Season series

WPG leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).