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Maple Leafs at Blue Jackets
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Columbus Blue Jackets

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸5
Columbus Blue Jackets
4
FinalTV ESPN+, HULU·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 5-4. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alexander Kerfoot's goal at 4:19 of the third period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 48% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 4.5 to 3.5; shots on goal were TOR 33, CBJ 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 31 of 35 (.886); Elvis Merzlikins stopped 28 of 33 (.848). Three stars: 1. Auston Matthews (1 G, 1 A), 2. Michael Bunting (1 G, 1 A), 3. Max Domi (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    A. Matthews1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TOR
    M. Bunting1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    M. Domi2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR31301327533
CBJCBJ05214216435

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    I. Mikheyev(10)
    P. Engvall (11), D. Kampf (13)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    8:06
  2. TOR
    M. Marner(22)
    M. Bunting (25), T. Liljegren (12)
    backhandxG 0.23win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    14:01
  3. TOR
    A. Matthews(40)
    M. Marner (38), T. Brodie (11)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.03win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    17:06

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    S. Kuraly(9)
    M. Domi (18)
    deflectedxG 0.11win prob +11 pts
    3-1
    1:45
  2. CBJ
    O. Bjorkstrand(20)
    G. Nyquist (19), A. Peeke (10)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    3-2
    18:49

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    J. Roslovic(10)PPG
    M. Domi (19), G. Nyquist (20)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +23 pts
    3-3
    2:28
  2. TOR
    A. Kerfoot(9)
    J. Spezza (10), W. Simmonds (10)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +27 pts
    4-3
    4:19
  3. TOR
    M. Bunting(20)
    A. Matthews (32), T. Brodie (12)
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    5-3
    11:21
  4. CBJ
    P. Laine(22)
    Z. Werenski (26), J. Voracek (40)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +5 pts
    5-4
    19:12

Penalties

TOR 13 PIM·CBJ 9 PIM

1st

  • 2:43CBJBrendan Gaunce · Cross checkingdrawn by Alexander Kerfoot2 min
  • 10:17TORJohn Tavares · Interferencedrawn by Jack Roslovic2 min

2nd

  • 7:35CBJMax Domi · Fightingdrawn by Justin Holl5 min
  • 7:35TORJustin Holl · Fightingdrawn by Max Domi5 min
  • 17:44CBJBoone Jenner · Roughingdrawn by Travis Dermott2 min
  • 17:44TORTravis Dermott · Interferencedrawn by Boone Jenner2 min

3rd

  • 0:52TORJohn Tavares · Holdingdrawn by Justin Danforth2 min
  • 17:00TORTimothy Liljegren · Holdingdrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalTOR goalFinal: CBJ 0%

Biggest swing: Alexander Kerfoot, 3rd 4:19 — TOR 48% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.27M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.26M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.23J. Roslovic · Goal · xG 0.22P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.21O. Bjorkstrand · Goal · xG 0.17O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.15O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.13O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.13V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.13Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.12S. Kuraly · Goal · xG 0.11O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.11J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.10P. Laine · Goal · xG 0.08P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.08G. Nyquist · Missed · xG 0.08A. Peeke · On goal · xG 0.07S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.07P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.07Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.06O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.06E. Chinakhov · Missed · xG 0.06E. Chinakhov · Missed · xG 0.05O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.05B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.05O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.04P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.03M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.03D. Kukan · On goal · xG 0.03G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.03P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.03J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.02O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bean · On goal · xG 0.02B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.02E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.02A. Peeke · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.01P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.01J. Danforth · On goal · xG 0.01J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.01A. Peeke · Missed · xG 0.01G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.01O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.00D. Kukan · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ4 G · 3.5 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsCBJ
4.55 G
All situations
4 G3.5
4.35 G
Even strength
3 G2.7
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR61%39%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.19 – 3.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsCBJ
33
Shots on goal
35
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/1
Power play
1/3
13
Penalty minutes
9
9
Hits
22
15
Blocked shots
16
3
Giveaways
4
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
78T. BrodieD022+100.02020—25:06
3J. HollD000+100.00115—22:25
16M. MarnerR112+220.31120—20:38
44M. RiellyD000+130.06100—20:07
34A. MatthewsC112+271.421104318:20
46I. LyubushkinD000010.01140—18:07
23T. DermottD000010.07012—16:57
88W. NylanderR000-110.160005016:53
91J. TavaresC000-140.871246516:52
37T. LiljegrenD011000.13002—15:58
64D. KampfC011010.160005315:12
15A. KerfootC101020.171105014:55
58M. BuntingL112+340.57100—14:37
65I. MikheyevR101+140.11000—13:23
89N. RobertsonL000-130.26110—12:38
47P. EngvallL011+100.20000—10:47
19J. SpezzaC011+100.000005010:24
24W. SimmondsR011+100.00000—09:05
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35P. Mrazek(W)35314.8863.54-0.4660:00

Season series

TOR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).