Toronto Maple Leafs at Columbus Blue Jackets
Recap
written from the game dataThe Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 4-3 in overtime, Patrik Laine scoring at 0:20. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Maple Leafs led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Patrik Laine's goal at 0:20 of overtime, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.2 to 1.9; shots on goal were TOR 42, CBJ 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Jack Campbell stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 2.1 goals below expected; J-F Berube stopped 39 of 42 (.929). Three stars: 1. Patrik Laine (2 G), 2. J-F Berube (39 saves, .929), 3. Brendan Gaunce (1 G).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
1-012:50
2nd period
1-16:13
2-115:23
3rd period
2-21:05
2-37:13
3-317:54
Overtime
3-40:20
Penalties
1st
- 7:51
Egor Chinakhov · Hookingdrawn by John Tavares2 min
- 18:55
Jakub Voracek · Trippingdrawn by Ilya Lyubushkin2 min
2nd
- 0:39
William Nylander · Holdingdrawn by Boone Jenner2 min
- 8:36
Vladislav Gavrikov · Cross checkingdrawn by Michael Bunting2 min
- 19:49
Morgan Rielly · Hookingdrawn by Patrik Laine2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Patrik Laine, OT 0:20 — 51% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.23 G
- All situations
- 4 G1.9
- 2.03 G
- Even strength
- 3 G1.7
- 1.20 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.2
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.20 – 1.89
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 42
- Shots on goal
- 30
- 46%
- Faceoffs
- 54%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 1/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 11
- Hits
- 24
- 10
- Blocked shots
- 20
- 1
- Giveaways
- 9
- 8
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
