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Flyers at Red Wings
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
2
Detroit Red Wings
▸4
FinalTV BSDET, NBCSP·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-2. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Filip Zadina's goal at 9:37 of the second period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 71% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.8 to 3.0; shots on goal were PHI 34, DET 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 0.9 goals below expected; Thomas Greiss stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Moritz Seider (1 G), 2. Thomas Greiss (32 saves, .941), 3. Keith Yandle (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    M. Seider1 G
  2. ★★
    DET
    T. Greiss32 saves, .941
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    K. Yandle1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI01311516234
DETDET1911024423

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    T. Bertuzzi(23)
    R. Fabbri (12), P. Suter (12)
    slapxG 0.18win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:36

2nd period

  1. DET
    F. Zadina(6)
    D. Larkin (23), M. Staal (6)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    9:37
  2. PHI
    K. Yandle(1)PPG
    S. Laughton (12), I. Ratcliffe (1)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    19:52

3rd period

  1. DET
    M. Seider(5)PPG
    D. Larkin (24), L. Raymond (26)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    1-3
    9:05
  2. PHI
    S. Laughton(9)
    T. Konecny (19), I. Provorov (13)
    wristxG 0.57win prob +13 pts
    2-3
    9:49
  3. DET
    M. Rasmussen(6)
    D. Larkin (25), S. Gagner (13)
    xG 0.94win prob +6 pts
    2-4
    18:20

Penalties

PHI 4 PIM·DET 6 PIM

1st

  • 20:00DETGivani Smith · Roughingdrawn by Justin Braun2 min

2nd

  • 18:40DETMarc Staal · Hookingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min

3rd

  • 5:08DETPius Suter · Trippingdrawn by Connor Bunnaman2 min
  • 7:25PHIIvan Provorov · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Thomas Greiss2 min
  • 12:42PHIJustin Braun · Trippingdrawn by Michael Rasmussen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalPHI goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Filip Zadina, 2nd 9:37 — DET 71% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Rasmussen · Goal · xG 0.94T. Bertuzzi · Goal · xG 0.18A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.15V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.14P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.13F. Zadina · Goal · xG 0.13A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.11S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.10D. DeKeyser · On goal · xG 0.09M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.09T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.07R. Fabbri · Missed · xG 0.07L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.07A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.07M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.06T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.06M. Rasmussen · Missed · xG 0.06T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.06A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.05M. Staal · Missed · xG 0.04F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.04M. Seider · Goal · xG 0.04M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.04T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.04A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.03D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.03T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.03G. Lindstrom · Missed · xG 0.01S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.01M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.01
DET4 G · 3.0 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsDET
3.82 G
All situations
4 G3.0
2.71 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
1.11 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI77%23%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.75 – 2.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsDET
34
Shots on goal
23
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
19
Hits
21
9
Blocked shots
8
3
Giveaways
4
2
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD011+130.21202—26:11
61J. BraunD000+110.03302—23:54
89C. AtkinsonR000-120.2610010022:50
28C. GirouxR000-140.270005821:21
21S. LaughtonC112-160.950004420:04
25J. van RiemsdykL000-100.44100—19:35
6T. SanheimD000-110.02010—19:29
23O. LindblomL000050.49100—17:08
3K. YandleD101-220.09000—15:59
11T. KonecnyR011040.4500010015:13
24N. SeelerD000-110.05120—14:44
8K. ConnautonD000-100.00320—14:03
71M. WillmanC000-110.13010013:06
82C. BunnamanC000-100.140003812:49
20G. MayhewC000-110.16200011:44
76I. RatcliffeL011010.05120—11:25
17Z. MacEwenR000-110.04310—09:23
59J. CatesC000010.031002508:55
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Hart(L)23203.8702.05-0.9558:27

Season series

DET leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).