Detroit Red Wings at Philadelphia Flyers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Detroit Red Wings beat the Philadelphia Flyers 6-3. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pius Suter's goal at 6:12 of the second period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 4.0 to 2.0; shots on goal were DET 34, PHI 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 1.0 goals below expected; Carter Hart stopped 28 of 33 (.848), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Dylan Larkin (1 G, 1 A), 2. Robby Fabbri (1 G, 1 A), 3. Isaac Ratcliffe (1 G).
Three stars
- ★D. Larkin1 G, 1 A

- ★★R. Fabbri1 G, 1 A

- ★★★I. Ratcliffe1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
9 goals1st period
1-02:43
1-13:03
2-16:02
2-26:26
2nd period
3-26:12
4-211:00
4-311:21
3rd period
5-38:46
6-319:05
Penalties
1st
- 2:18
Travis Sanheim · Holdingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min
- 3:03
served by F. Zadina · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
- 13:05
Max Willman · Interferencedrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min
2nd
- 1:07
Oskar Lindblom · Trippingdrawn by Moritz Seider2 min
- 2:13
Dylan Larkin · Cross checkingdrawn by Max Willman2 min
- 7:39
Joseph Veleno · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 15:59
Dylan Larkin · Hookingdrawn by Keith Yandle2 min
3rd
- 12:37
Robby Fabbri · High stickingdrawn by Nick Seeler2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Pius Suter, 2nd 6:12 — 47% → 65%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 4.05 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.0
- 2.14 G
- Even strength
- 3 G1.3
- 0.71 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.7
- 0.20 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.02 – 2.00
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 34
- Shots on goal
- 24
- 54%
- Faceoffs
- 46%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 0/5
- 10
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 16
- Hits
- 24
- 14
- Blocked shots
- 13
- 5
- Giveaways
- 7
- 2
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
