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Canucks at Predators
NHL

Vancouver Canucks at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Vancouver Canucks
2
Nashville Predators
▸4
FinalTV BSSO, SNP·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Vancouver Canucks 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Predators led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tanner Jeannot's goal at 1:28 of the third period, which took the Predators' chances from 76% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 2.7 to 2.0; shots on goal were VAN 32, NSH 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Thatcher Demko stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.3 goals below expected; Juuse Saros stopped 30 of 32 (.938). Three stars: 1. Filip Forsberg (2 G), 2. Ryan Johansen (1 G), 3. Tanner Jeannot (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg2 G
  2. ★★
    NSH
    R. Johansen1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    T. Jeannot1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN2901409232
NSHNSH21115112428

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    M. Highmore(2)
    J. Lammikko (4)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    7:56
  2. NSH
    R. Johansen(13)
    M. McCarron (2), A. Carrier (15)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    14:22
  3. NSH
    F. Forsberg(23)
    P. Myers (3), M. Duchene (20)
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    15:30
  4. VAN
    O. Ekman-Larsson(3)
    B. Boeser (12), T. Pearson (12)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    17:36

2nd period

  1. NSH
    F. Forsberg(24)PPG
    R. Josi (31), M. Granlund (32)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    2-3
    3:12

3rd period

  1. NSH
    T. Jeannot(14)
    M. Ekholm (11), C. Sissons (15)
    wristxG 0.35win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    1:28

Penalties

VAN 6 PIM·NSH 4 PIM

1st

  • 3:14VANTanner Pearson · Hookingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min
  • 12:21NSHTanner Jeannot · Roughingdrawn by Tanner Pearson2 min

2nd

  • 2:46VANJ.T. Miller · Slashingdrawn by Philippe Myers2 min
  • 18:37VANBrock Boeser · Trippingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min

3rd

  • 5:34NSHDante Fabbro · Slashingdrawn by J.T. Miller2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalVAN goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Tanner Jeannot, 3rd 1:28 — NSH 76% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Jeannot · Goal · xG 0.35E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.17P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.15R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.12M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.11F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.11M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.09M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.09R. Johansen · Goal · xG 0.08P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.08F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.08F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.08F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.08C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.07L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.07E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.07L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.06N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.06N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.06M. McCarron · Missed · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.06M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.06R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.05N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.05M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.05M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.05Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.05D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.05T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.03M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.03D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.03P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.02E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.01R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01P. Myers · Missed · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.01
NSH4 G · 2.7 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsNSH
2.02 G
All situations
4 G2.7
1.82 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN37%63%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.01 – 2.72

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsNSH
32
Shots on goal
28
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
31
Hits
44
12
Blocked shots
15
7
Giveaways
17
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23O. Ekman-LarssonD101-130.13120—26:57
43Q. HughesD000010.05020—26:46
57T. MyersD000010.03320—23:47
53B. HorvatC000-140.302102720:32
9J. MillerC000000.063024720:19
6B. BoeserR011030.1420210019:58
8C. GarlandR000-100.05300—17:51
2L. SchennD000020.02700—17:28
40E. PetterssonC000-110.27010016:22
70T. PearsonL011060.2600210016:06
77B. HuntD000-110.16010—13:49
39A. ChiassonR000-130.10200—12:19
64T. MotteC000010.01110012:16
92V. PodkolzinR000020.14220—12:15
18J. DickinsonC000-110.061005012:09
91J. LammikkoC011+100.011001410:29
15M. HighmoreC101+110.20100009:59
47N. JuulsenD000020.02200—08:50
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Demko(L)28244.8572.74-1.2657:22

Season series

NSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).