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Vancouver Canucks at Nashville Predators

FinalTV BSSO, SNP·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Nashville Predators 3-1. The Predators scored first; the Canucks answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brock Boeser's goal at 3:41 of the third period, which took the Canucks' chances from 54% to 74%. Expected goals were close — VAN 2.8, NSH 2.7; shots on goal were VAN 24, NSH 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Thatcher Demko stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 1.7 goals saved above expected; David Rittich stopped 21 of 24 (.875). Three stars: 1. Brock Boeser (1 G), 2. Elias Pettersson (1 G), 3. Philip Tomasino (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    B. Boeser1 G
  2. ★★
    VAN
    E. Pettersson1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    P. Tomasino1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN0911025324
NSHNSH07115010132

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. NSH
    snapxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    2:51
  2. VAN
    wristxG 0.14win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    7:23

3rd period

  1. VAN
    B. Boeser(10)PPG
    J. Miller (27), Q. Hughes (29)
    deflectedxG 0.15win prob +20 pts
    2-1
    3:41
  2. VAN
    wristxG 0.17win prob +13 pts
    3-1
    12:19

Penalties

VAN 14 PIM·NSH 20 PIM

1st

  • 6:24VANTyler Myers · Fightingdrawn by Michael McCarron5 min
  • 6:24NSHMichael McCarron · Fightingdrawn by Tyler Myers5 min
  • 7:08NSHPhilippe Myers · Hookingdrawn by Alex Chiasson2 min
  • 18:19NSHJeremy Davies · Cross checkingdrawn by Tanner Pearson2 min

2nd

  • 1:10VANBrock Boeser · Trippingdrawn by Tanner Jeannot2 min
  • 16:35VANKyle Burroughs · Fightingdrawn by Tanner Jeannot5 min
  • 16:35NSHTanner Jeannot · Fightingdrawn by Kyle Burroughs5 min

3rd

  • 1:18NSHMatt Benning · Interferencedrawn by Tyler Myers2 min
  • 3:34NSHAlexandre Carrier · High stickingdrawn by Jason Dickinson2 min
  • 14:35VANTyler Motte · Trippingdrawn by Roman Josi2 min
  • 18:18NSHFilip Forsberg · Slashingdrawn by Tyler Motte2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalVAN goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Brock Boeser, 3rd 3:41 — VAN 54% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.20T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.19M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.18R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.17Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.13P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.13F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.12F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.11M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.11M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.11N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.09Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.09A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.09M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.07P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.07F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.06P. Tomasino · Goal · xG 0.06E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.05R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.04P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.04R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.04R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.04Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.04E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.03R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.03J. Davies · On goal · xG 0.03J. Davies · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.02M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.02M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.02J. Davies · On goal · xG 0.02M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.01M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.01P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.01T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.00L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.00A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH1 G · 2.7 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsNSH
2.83 G
All situations
1 G2.7
1.72 G
Even strength
0 G2.0
1.11 G
Power play
1 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN51%49%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.73 – 2.68

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsNSH
24
Shots on goal
32
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/5
Power play
1/2
14
Penalty minutes
20
31
Hits
31
14
Blocked shots
12
4
Giveaways
19
13
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD011+220.11010—26:39
9J. MillerC011010.224104822:28
40E. PetterssonC101+110.290003820:17
23O. Ekman-LarssonD000000.02000—20:05
6B. BoeserR101050.52102—20:00
5T. PoolmanD000+220.12110—19:32
57T. MyersD000010.05325—19:23
70T. PearsonL000030.51210—19:16
2L. SchennD000000.00420—16:23
91J. LammikkoC101+110.170005016:21
64T. MotteC011+100.00002015:05
92V. PodkolzinR011+120.22110—14:02
18J. DickinsonC000+110.053206012:55
21N. HoglanderL011+120.36110—12:39
44K. BurroughsD000010.02705—12:29
15M. HighmoreC000010.00220011:25
39A. ChiassonR000010.12200—09:38
73J. DowlingC000000.00000007:59
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Demko(W)32311.9692.71+1.7159:43

Season series

NSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).