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Wild at Islanders
NHL

Minnesota Wild at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸4
New York Islanders
3
FinalTV BSN+, BSWI+·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the New York Islanders 4-3. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Boldy's goal at 2:39 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 63% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 4.6 to 1.9; shots on goal were MIN 21, NYI 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 87% of the time. Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 40 of 43 (.930), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 2.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kirill Kaprizov (1 G, 1 A), 2. Joel Eriksson Ek (1 G, 1 A), 3. Matt Boldy (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Boldy1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN2101615421
NYINYI111114118343

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    B. Duhaime(5)
    J. Eriksson Ek (10), M. Dumba (15)
    backhandxG 0.01win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:36
  2. MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek(13)PPG
    K. Kaprizov (34), M. Boldy (5)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    2-0
    4:39
  3. NYI
    B. Nelson(14)
    R. Salo (3), A. Pelech (10)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    13:56

2nd period

  1. MIN
    M. Boldy(4)
    V. Rask (7), K. Fiala (20)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    2:39
  2. NYI
    R. Johnston(1)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    3-2
    4:03

3rd period

  1. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(18)
    M. Dumba (16), J. Brodin (14)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    4-2
    11:27
  2. NYI
    O. Wahlstrom(9)PPG
    A. Lee (4), N. Dobson (10)
    wristxG 0.29win prob +6 pts
    4-3
    16:00

Penalties

MIN 10 PIM·NYI 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:06NYIKyle Palmieri · Trippingdrawn by Alex Goligoski2 min
  • 11:52MINMathew Dumba · Roughingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min
  • 11:52NYIAnders Lee · Roughingdrawn by Mathew Dumba2 min
  • 11:52MINMathew Dumba · Roughingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min

2nd

  • 12:01MINAlex Goligoski · Cross checkingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
  • 13:25NYIOliver Wahlstrom · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min

3rd

  • 5:35MINRyan Hartman · Hookingdrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min
  • 14:48MINMats Zuccarello · Hookingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalMIN goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Matt Boldy, 2nd 2:39 — MIN 63% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
O. Wahlstrom · Goal · xG 0.29J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.24B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.22J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.22B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.20A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.18A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.18J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.14K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.13O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.13J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.12K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.12Z. Chara · Missed · xG 0.11A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.11O. Wahlstrom · Missed · xG 0.10M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.10J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.09A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.09M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.09A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.09A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.08A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.08M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.08O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.08A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.08A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.07M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.06N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.06B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.06M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.05J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.05K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.05M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.05N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.05N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.05N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.04M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.04R. Johnston · Goal · xG 0.04C. Clutterbuck · Missed · xG 0.04J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.03N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Salo · On goal · xG 0.03N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.03N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.03A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.03C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.03M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.03M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Chara · Missed · xG 0.01N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.01
NYI3 G · 4.6 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsNYI
1.94 G
All situations
3 G4.6
1.53 G
Even strength
2 G2.6
0.41 G
Power play
1 G1.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN13%87%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.87 – 4.53

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsNYI
21
Shots on goal
43
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/2
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
6
22
Hits
30
7
Blocked shots
13
7
Giveaways
11
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25J. BrodinD011+110.06210—27:52
24M. DumbaD022+100.00104—23:48
46J. SpurgeonD000+210.11110—23:14
36M. ZuccarelloR000000.13002—19:14
38R. HartmanR000+110.031124719:03
47A. GoligoskiD000+100.00112—19:00
97K. KaprizovL112+120.32100—17:20
18J. GreenwayL000010.02600—17:19
14J. Eriksson EkC112050.380005317:06
22K. FialaL011000.03000—16:31
21B. DuhaimeL101020.03110—14:38
89F. GaudreauC000-140.450005014:04
12M. BoldyL112+120.22000—13:06
29D. KulikovD000-200.00200—12:58
8J. BennD000-110.01000—11:23
52C. DewarC000010.10220008:57
49V. RaskC011+100.001003808:56
37K. RauC000000.00300008:19
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34K. Kahkonen(W)43403.9304.57+1.5760:00

Season series

MIN leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).