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Washington Capitals at Boston Bruins

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Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Washington Capitals 4-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Charlie McAvoy's goal at 19:15 of the third period, which took the Bruins' chances from 54% to 96%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 2.6 to 1.5; shots on goal were WSH 17, BOS 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Vitek Vanecek stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.4 goals below expected; Linus Ullmark stopped 14 of 17 (.824), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Charlie McAvoy (1 G), 2. David Pastrnak (2 G), 3. Patrice Bergeron.

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    C. McAvoy1 G
  2. ★★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak2 G
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    P. Bergeron

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH151616317
BOSBOS110110213433

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    snapxG 0.01win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:07
  2. BOS
    T. Hall (18), E. Haula (10)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    4:57

2nd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.35win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    8:37
  2. WSH
    wristxG 0.04win prob +21 pts
    2-2
    16:12

3rd period

  1. BOS
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01win prob +31 pts
    2-3
    9:41
  2. WSH
    wristxG 0.09win prob +31 pts
    3-3
    10:17
  3. BOS
    C. McAvoy(6)PPG
    wristxG 0.06win prob +42 pts
    3-4
    19:15

Penalties

WSH 6 PIM·BOS 8 PIM

1st

  • 8:14BOSTaylor Hall · High stickingdrawn by Evgeny Kuznetsov2 min
  • 14:22BOSBrad Marchand · Trippingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min

2nd

  • 4:33BOSErik Haula · Hookingdrawn by Connor McMichael2 min
  • 6:48WSHGarnet Hathaway · Interferencedrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 12:38BOSCraig Smith · Trippingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min

3rd

  • 5:17WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov · Slashingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
  • 17:26WSHNic Dowd · Trippingdrawn by Derek Forbort2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalWSH goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: Charlie McAvoy, 3rd 19:15 — BOS 54% → 96%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Pastrnak · Goal · xG 0.35T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.15D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.13D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.13J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.12J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.12E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.12P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.12D. Pastrnak · Goal · xG 0.12T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.11C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.11E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.09C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.08U. Vaakanainen · Missed · xG 0.07P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.07C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.07D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.07B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.06T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.06C. McAvoy · Goal · xG 0.06P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.05T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.04B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.03J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.03C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.03T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.02P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.02C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.02J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.02C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.02C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.02M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.02E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.01N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.01C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.01J. DeBrusk · Goal · xG 0.01C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.01N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS4 G · 2.6 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsBOS
1.53 G
All situations
4 G2.6
1.23 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.20 G
Power play
2 G0.9
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 65 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH28%72%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.45 – 2.61

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsBOS
17
Shots on goal
33
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/4
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
36
Hits
27
14
Blocked shots
17
7
Giveaways
10
9
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2J. SchultzD000010.14100—22:10
57T. van RiemsdykD011+100.00040—22:02
42M. FehérváryD000020.06420—21:16
43T. WilsonR011+110.22410—20:59
6M. KempnyD000+110.02140—20:47
92E. KuznetsovC101010.111026420:32
8A. OvechkinL011030.17400—20:05
19N. BackstromC101+110.180005318:24
20L. EllerC101+110.084003316:52
21G. HathawayR000-110.11122—16:12
52M. IrwinD000000.00610—13:35
26N. DowdC000-110.061023313:12
62C. HagelinL000-100.00200—13:00
59A. ProtasL000+100.00100—12:40
49B. LeasonR000+130.23100—11:56
24C. McMichaelL011+110.07200—11:39
3N. JensenD000000.00100—11:35
45A. Jonsson-FjallbyL000000.00200—08:04
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41V. Vanecek(L)33294.8792.61-1.3959:22

Season series

BOS leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).