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Boston Bruins at Washington Capitals

FinalTV NBCSWA, NESN·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Washington Capitals 7-3. The Bruins came back from two goals down. The Bruins led 6-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Craig Smith's goal at 7:53 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 65% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.1 to 2.4; shots on goal were BOS 31, WSH 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Vitek Vanecek stopped 12 of 15 (.800), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. David Pastrnak (2 G, 1 A), 2. Brad Marchand (2 G, 1 A), 3. Matt Grzelcyk (1 G, 4 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    BOS
    B. Marchand2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    M. Grzelcyk1 G, 4 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS210411110731
WSHWSH21111108330

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:02
  2. WSH
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    12:32
  3. BOS
    snapxG 0.18win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    18:34
  4. BOS
    wristxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    2-2
    19:14

2nd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    2:51
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    7:53
  3. BOS
    wristxG 0.07win prob +10 pts
    5-2
    8:54
  4. BOS
    T. Hall (15), M. Grzelcyk (10)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +4 pts
    6-2
    13:09
  5. WSH
    deflectedxG 0.09win prob +4 pts
    6-3
    14:06

3rd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.23win prob +1 pts
    7-3
    10:59

Penalties

BOS 6 PIM·WSH 8 PIM

1st

  • 8:33BOSMatt Grzelcyk · Interferencedrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
  • 13:27WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov · Holdingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 14:42WSHNic Dowd · High sticking double minordrawn by Brad Marchand4 min
  • 15:09BOSPatrice Bergeron · Interferencedrawn by Lars Eller2 min
  • 18:19WSHJohn Carlson · Cross checkingdrawn by Erik Haula2 min

3rd

  • 18:55BOSTaylor Hall · Trippingdrawn by Martin Fehérváry2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalBOS goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Craig Smith, 2nd 7:53 — BOS 65% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.26A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.22A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.16T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.14T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.12T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.12A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.12C. Sheary · Goal · xG 0.11E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.10G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.10C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.10L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.10T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.09T. Oshie · Goal · xG 0.09J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.08G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.08M. Fehérváry · Missed · xG 0.08J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.07A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.07N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.06D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.06D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.05J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.05C. Sheary · Goal · xG 0.04T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.04T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.03A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.03N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.03T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.03A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.03D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.02T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.02D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.02J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Jensen · Missed · xG 0.02J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.02M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.02T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.01D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.01D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.01C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.01M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.00M. Fehérváry · Missed · xG 0.00
WSH3 G · 3.1 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsWSH
2.47 G
All situations
3 G3.1
1.75 G
Even strength
3 G2.9
0.52 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS37%63%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.32 – 3.04

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsWSH
31
Shots on goal
30
57%
Faceoffs
43%
2/4
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
8
27
Hits
35
11
Blocked shots
12
6
Giveaways
3
8
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25B. CarloD000-110.03100—22:17
6M. ReillyD000020.05220—21:07
73C. McAvoyD000+110.04200—20:42
71T. HallL022+210.20022—19:19
88D. PastrnakR213050.4900010019:03
63B. MarchandL213-150.4612010018:14
48M. GrzelcykD145+210.04112—17:47
37P. BergeronC000-130.173128217:44
56E. HaulaL101+230.243002817:08
27J. MooreD000010.01000—16:58
58U. VaakanainenD011+210.04110—16:56
12C. SmithC112+230.17200016:03
13C. CoyleC000010.260006315:47
81A. BlidhL022+110.01000—13:44
62O. SteenC000010.12000012:41
20C. LazarC011+110.034104411:51
83K. KuhlmanC000000.00610010:39
11T. FredericC000000.01100006:57
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35L. Ullmark(W)30273.9003.07+0.0759:58

Season series

BOS leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).