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Predators at Stars
NHL

Nashville Predators at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
3
Dallas Stars
▸4
FinalTV TNT·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Nashville Predators 4-3. The Stars scored first and never trailed. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Luke Glendening's goal at 3:24 of the third period, which took the Stars' chances from 52% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 4.3 to 2.0; shots on goal were NSH 23, DAL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 23 of 27 (.852); Jake Oettinger stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jason Robertson (2 G), 2. Roope Hintz (1 G, 1 A), 3. Roman Josi (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Robertson2 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    R. Hintz1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    R. Josi2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH152909323
DALDAL15212110427

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    J. Robertson(18)PPG
    J. Klingberg (23), R. Hintz (18)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    8:58
  2. NSH
    E. Tolvanen(7)
    M. Ekholm (12), A. Carrier (16)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    14:41

2nd period

  1. DAL
    J. Robertson(19)PPG
    J. Klingberg (24), E. Lindell (12)
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +20 pts
    1-2
    16:18
  2. NSH
    M. Duchene(22)
    R. Josi (32), F. Forsberg (15)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +21 pts
    2-2
    16:37
  3. DAL
    R. Hintz(21)
    R. Suter (14)
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +22 pts
    2-3
    17:59
  4. NSH
    Y. Trenin(11)
    T. Jeannot (14), R. Josi (33)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +23 pts
    3-3
    19:51

3rd period

  1. DAL
    L. Glendening(7)
    M. Raffl (6)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +25 pts
    3-4
    3:24

Penalties

NSH 14 PIM·DAL 10 PIM

1st

  • 0:23DALJoe Pavelski · Slashingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min
  • 7:26DALJamie Benn · Roughingdrawn by Yakov Trenin2 min
  • 7:26NSHYakov Trenin · Elbowingdrawn by John Klingberg2 min
  • 7:45NSHDante Fabbro · Holdingdrawn by Luke Glendening2 min
  • 9:35NSHRoman Josi · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Seguin2 min
  • 10:46DALMiro Heiskanen · Trippingdrawn by Ben Harpur2 min

2nd

  • 2:27NSHBen Harpur · Hookingdrawn by Michael Raffl2 min
  • 3:55NSHMichael McCarron · Hookingdrawn by Miro Heiskanen2 min
  • 14:27NSHFilip Forsberg · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:51DALserved by D. Gurianov · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

3rd

  • 5:44NSHRoman Josi · Trippingdrawn by Jamie Benn2 min
  • 19:58DALMichael Raffl · Slashingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalNSH goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Luke Glendening, 3rd 3:24 — DAL 52% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.60R. Hintz · Goal · xG 0.21J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.21J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.20J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.18J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.16J. Robertson · Goal · xG 0.16L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.15M. Raffl · Missed · xG 0.15J. Robertson · Goal · xG 0.14L. Glendening · Goal · xG 0.14T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.14J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.13M. Raffl · Missed · xG 0.13J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.13L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.12D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.10L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.10J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.09L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.09J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.09J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.09T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.07M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.07L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.07J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.07D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.07M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.05D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.04J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.04J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.03J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.03J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.02J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.02L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.01M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01
DAL4 G · 4.3 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsDAL
2.03 G
All situations
4 G4.3
1.53 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.50 G
Power play
2 G1.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH23%77%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.96 – 3.65

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsDAL
23
Shots on goal
27
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/4
Power play
2/6
14
Penalty minutes
10
29
Hits
22
17
Blocked shots
17
15
Giveaways
10
1
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD022+120.16034—25:52
64M. GranlundC000000.362105824:45
14M. EkholmD011+120.02100—23:18
45A. CarrierD011000.04130—20:50
9F. ForsbergL011040.28102—20:20
95M. DucheneC101020.40000020:15
92R. JohansenC000-100.001304316:59
57D. FabbroD000030.10012—15:28
55P. MyersD000010.08100—15:22
10C. SissonsC000+110.096006414:42
17B. HarpurD000010.01112—14:35
84T. JeannotL011+110.06300—14:06
11L. KuninC000-110.07520013:39
13Y. TreninC101+120.07322013:14
21N. CousinsC000-110.00000013:08
47M. McCarronC000+100.1200210008:13
26P. TomasinoR000+100.0400010007:04
28E. TolvanenR101+120.07410—06:42
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(L)27234.8523.66-0.3458:24

Season series

NSH leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).