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Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV BSW, SNW·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Anaheim Ducks 7-3. The Oilers came back from two goals down. The Oilers led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jesse Puljujarvi's goal at 7:26 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.6 to 2.7; shots on goal were ANA 30, EDM 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. John Gibson stopped 34 of 41 (.829), 3.4 goals below expected; Mike Smith stopped 27 of 30 (.900). Three stars: 1. Derek Ryan (1 G, 1 A), 2. Ryan McLeod (2 A), 3. Warren Foegele (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    D. Ryan1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    R. McLeod2 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    W. Foegele1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA2807115330
EDMEDM116314311741

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    4:39
  2. ANA
    S. Milano(11)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    14:14
  3. EDM
    E. Kane(4)PPG
    snapxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    18:46

2nd period

  1. EDM
    C. Ceci (13), W. Foegele (12)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    4:12
  2. EDM
    C. McDavid (42), Z. Hyman (14)
    deflectedxG 0.13win prob +18 pts
    2-3
    7:26
  3. EDM
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    10:21

3rd period

  1. EDM
    snapxG 0.13win prob +5 pts
    2-5
    4:21
  2. ANA
    R. Rakell (11), S. Milano (17)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +4 pts
    3-5
    9:17
  3. EDM
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.16win prob +3 pts
    3-6
    10:19
  4. EDM
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +1 pts
    3-7
    11:37

Penalties

ANA 8 PIM·EDM 6 PIM

1st

  • 0:18ANATroy Terry · Hookingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 2:42EDMTyson Barrie · Trippingdrawn by Trevor Zegras2 min
  • 12:27EDMDarnell Nurse · Trippingdrawn by Trevor Zegras2 min
  • 16:52ANAIsac Lundeström · Hookingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

2nd

  • 20:00EDMConnor McDavid · Hookingdrawn by Troy Terry2 min

3rd

  • 5:12ANASam Carrick · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Evander Kane2 min
  • 12:21ANAHampus Lindholm · Trippingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalANA goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Jesse Puljujarvi, 2nd 7:26 — EDM 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.30L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.26K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.21D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.19L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.16W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.14W. Foegele · Goal · xG 0.13J. Puljujarvi · Goal · xG 0.13C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.12Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.12R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.12K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.12R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.12C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.11E. Kane · Goal · xG 0.11J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.10C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.10D. Ryan · Goal · xG 0.09C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.07R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.07L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.07E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.06K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.06E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.06D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.05W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.04C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.04E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.04R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.04T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.03C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.03J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.03R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.02C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.02R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.01L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM7 G · 3.6 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsEDM
2.73 G
All situations
7 G3.6
1.81 G
Even strength
6 G2.7
0.82 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA35%65%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.67 – 3.61

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsEDM
30
Shots on goal
41
49%
Faceoffs
51%
2/3
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
30
Hits
22
14
Blocked shots
4
16
Giveaways
13
7
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22K. ShattenkirkD000050.07130—26:08
4C. FowlerD011030.16020—25:30
47H. LindholmD000-230.06212—24:06
34J. DrysdaleD011-300.05100—21:27
21I. LundestromC000000.011225417:23
33J. SilfverbergR011020.33000—17:09
46T. ZegrasC112-110.040005716:29
67R. RakellR011-140.21200—16:03
19T. TerryR000-430.47002—15:16
12S. MilanoL112-110.17000—15:08
23S. SteelC000-400.001005314:00
14A. HenriqueC101-320.360107513:50
44M. ComtoisL000-110.15400—13:28
20N. DeslauriersL000010.06820—12:25
29G. PaterynD000-310.02600—12:11
38D. GrantC000010.050004011:49
39S. CarrickC000010.441023011:01
76J. MahuraD000-210.04330—08:43
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(L)41347.8293.62-3.3860:00

Season series

EDM leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).