Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Edmonton Oilers beat the Anaheim Ducks 6-5. The lead changed hands 4 times. The Ducks led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evan Bouchard's goal at 10:30 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 52% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.8 to 3.3; shots on goal were ANA 36, EDM 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Anthony Stolarz stopped 31 of 36 (.861), 1.2 goals below expected; Mike Smith stopped 11 of 15 (.733), 2.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Zack Kassian (2 G), 2. Sam Steel (2 G), 3. Leon Draisaitl (2 G, 2 A).
Three stars
- ★Z. Kassian2 G

- ★★S. Steel2 G

- ★★★L. Draisaitl2 G, 2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
11 goals1st period
1-05:07
1-18:47
1-214:52
2-215:07
2-319:29
2nd period
3-38:46
4-39:59
3rd period
4-45:27
4-510:30
4-618:59
5-619:41
Penalties
1st
- 19:05
Cam Fowler · Trippingdrawn by Jesse Puljujarvi2 min
- 19:05
Rickard Rakell · Cross checkingdrawn by Jesse Puljujarvi2 min
2nd
- 1:39
Kevin Shattenkirk · Trippingdrawn by Derek Ryan2 min
- 2:19
Kyle Turris · Hookingdrawn by Cam Fowler2 min
- 3:13
Hampus Lindholm · Closing hand on puck2 min
- 14:02
Jesse Puljujarvi · Slashingdrawn by Trevor Zegras2 min
3rd
- 3:36
Kevin Shattenkirk · High stickingdrawn by Evan Bouchard2 min
- 15:02
Adam Henrique · High stickingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Evan Bouchard, 3rd 10:30 — 52% → 84%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.35 G
- All situations
- 5 G4.8
- 2.65 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.7
- 0.60 G
- Power play
- 2 G1.1
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.31 – 3.78
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 36
- Shots on goal
- 37
- 42%
- Faceoffs
- 58%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 2/6
- 12
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 29
- Hits
- 22
- 14
- Blocked shots
- 17
- 14
- Giveaways
- 15
- 6
- Takeaways
- 7
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
