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Maple Leafs at Oilers
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸5
Edmonton Oilers
1
FinalTV SNW, TSN4·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-1. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Wayne Simmonds's goal at 8:47 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 65% to 83%. Expected goals were close — TOR 3.2, EDM 3.1; shots on goal were TOR 25, EDM 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Jack Campbell stopped 35 of 36 (.972), 2.1 goals saved above expected; Mikko Koskinen stopped 20 of 25 (.800), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jack Campbell (35 saves, .972), 2. Auston Matthews (2 G), 3. Morgan Rielly (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    J. Campbell35 saves, .972
  2. ★★
    TOR
    A. Matthews2 G
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    M. Rielly1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR1122726525
EDMEDM01201519136

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    A. Matthews(19)PPG
    J. Tavares (19), O. Kase (6)
    slapxG 0.19win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    19:25

2nd period

  1. TOR
    W. Simmonds(4)
    M. Rielly (22), K. Clifford (3)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    8:47
  2. TOR
    T. Brodie(1)
    T. Liljegren (4), D. Kampf (5)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +9 pts
    3-0
    14:54

3rd period

  1. EDM
    C. Sceviour(1)
    Z. Kassian (6), T. Barrie (13)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +6 pts
    3-1
    5:26
  2. TOR
    M. Rielly(4)
    W. Nylander (18)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +6 pts
    4-1
    6:33
  3. TOR
    A. Matthews(20)
    O. Kase (7)
    snapxG 0.20
    5-1
    16:40

Penalties

TOR 4 PIM·EDM 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:37TORJohn Tavares · Trippingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 2:54EDMZack Kassian · Interferencedrawn by Morgan Rielly2 min
  • 19:16EDMLeon Draisaitl · Roughingdrawn by Travis Dermott2 min

2nd

  • 12:39EDMDevin Shore · Trippingdrawn by Justin Holl2 min
  • 18:14TORJustin Holl · Interferencedrawn by Warren Foegele2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalTOR goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Wayne Simmonds, 2nd 8:47 — TOR 65% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.19D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.18L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.17W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.17T. Benson · On goal · xG 0.16C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.15L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.14D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.13D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.13R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.13W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.13D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.13D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.10W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.10D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.09C. Sceviour · Goal · xG 0.09J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.09J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.09K. Turris · Missed · xG 0.08W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.06D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.05J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.05D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.04D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.03C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.03T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.03D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.03M. Niemelainen · On goal · xG 0.03L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.03D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.02C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.02T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.01D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.01D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.00D. Keith · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM1 G · 3.1 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsEDM
3.25 G
All situations
1 G3.1
2.54 G
Even strength
1 G2.5
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR51%49%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.19 – 3.12

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsEDM
25
Shots on goal
36
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
20
Hits
29
12
Blocked shots
8
14
Giveaways
20
13
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8J. MuzzinD000040.15320—22:52
37T. LiljegrenD011+100.00100—21:05
44M. RiellyD112+230.10010—21:03
25O. KaseR022+120.50000—20:46
34A. MatthewsC202+140.660206419:19
78T. BrodieD101+310.14000—19:18
91J. TavaresC011+100.170126917:47
58M. BuntingL000+120.16200—17:43
15A. KerfootC000+220.08110017:42
23T. DermottD000000.00310—16:33
3J. HollD000000.00102—16:15
88W. NylanderR011+130.5200010015:56
65I. MikheyevR000000.00010—15:13
64D. KampfC011+210.03210815:06
47P. EngvallL000-110.280005012:19
24W. SimmondsR101010.22300—10:42
43K. CliffordL011+100.00110—09:07
62B. SeneyL000010.17310—07:10
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Campbell(W)36351.9723.14+2.1460:00

Season series

TOR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).