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Flames at Blackhawks
NHL

Calgary Flames at Chicago Blackhawks

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
▸5
Chicago Blackhawks
2
FinalTV NBCSCH, SN·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Chicago Blackhawks 5-2. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alec Regula's goal at 12:54 of the second period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 16% to 32%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.4 to 1.7; shots on goal were CGY 35, CHI 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 22 of 24 (.917); Kevin Lankinen stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Blake Coleman (1 G, 1 A), 2. Johnny Gaudreau (2 G), 3. Alec Regula (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    B. Coleman1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    J. Gaudreau2 G
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    A. Regula1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY31401526535
CHICHI1618010224

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    D. Dube(14)
    N. Hanifin (35), B. Coleman (17)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:22
  2. CGY
    J. Gaudreau(37)
    M. Tkachuk (58), N. Zadorov (16)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    6:23
  3. CHI
    T. Johnson(2)
    J. Toews (21), D. Kubalik (15)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    7:06
  4. CGY
    B. Coleman(16)
    O. Kylington (20)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    14:41

2nd period

  1. CHI
    A. Regula(1)
    J. McCabe (17), A. DeBrincat (34)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    12:54

3rd period

  1. CGY
    J. Gaudreau(38)EN
    M. Tkachuk (59)
    wristxG 0.53win prob +7 pts
    4-2
    18:28
  2. CGY
    O. Kylington(9)EN
    J. Markstrom (3)
    wristxG 0.53
    5-2
    18:53

Penalties

CGY 6 PIM·CHI 8 PIM

1st

  • 8:27CGYBlake Coleman · Holdingdrawn by Seth Jones2 min
  • 12:12CHIJake McCabe · Roughingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov2 min
  • 12:12CGYNikita Zadorov · Roughingdrawn by Jake McCabe2 min
  • 12:12CHIJake McCabe · Roughingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov2 min
  • 19:00CGYAndrew Mangiapane · Trippingdrawn by Taylor Raddysh2 min

2nd

  • 5:10CHIPatrick Kane · Hookingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min

3rd

  • 2:05CHICaleb Jones · Hookingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalCGY goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Alec Regula, 2nd 12:54 — CHI 16% → 32%

Game flow

expected goals, added up
CGY 2.31CHI 1.72dots are goals · empty-net attempts left out
PeriodCGY xGAttGCHI xGAttG
1st0.861430.61101
2nd0.811700.5281
3rd0.65800.58120

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.30D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.14J. Toews · Missed · xG 0.11B. Katchouk · On goal · xG 0.11A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.10A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.10A. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.09T. Johnson · Goal · xG 0.09R. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.08C. Jones · On goal · xG 0.08P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.07B. Katchouk · On goal · xG 0.06T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.05A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.05T. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.04B. Katchouk · Missed · xG 0.04D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.03A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.03A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.02C. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.02S. Lafferty · On goal · xG 0.02A. Regula · Missed · xG 0.02J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.02R. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.01J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.01P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01A. Regula · Goal · xG 0.01J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01L. Reichel · On goal · xG 0.01
CHI2 G · 1.7 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsCHI
3.43 G
All situations
2 G1.7
1.83 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY61%39%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.28 – 1.72

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Best chances

by our xG
  1. CHIJ. Toews2nd 15:15 · backhand · 13 ftSaved30%
  2. CGYM. Tkachuk3rd 16:14 · wrist · 14 ftSaved25%
  3. CGYC. Jarnkrok1st 11:47 · snap · 15 ftSaved19%
  4. CGYM. Tkachuk2nd 12:01 · snap · 24 ftSaved15%
  5. CGYE. Lindholm2nd 15:52 · wrist · 13 ftSaved14%
  6. CHID. Strome1st 11:15 · wrist · 8 ftSaved14%

The chance each attempt scores, from where and how it was taken. Empty-net attempts are left out.

Team stats

CGYvsCHI
35
Shots on goal
24
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/3
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
8
29
Hits
29
13
Blocked shots
14
5
Giveaways
18
7
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55N. HanifinD011+140.11210—23:23
4R. AnderssonD000+130.09410—23:16
13J. GaudreauL202+240.75000—20:14
28E. LindholmC000+220.243305919:56
8C. TanevD000+200.00420—19:43
19M. TkachukL022+220.62010—19:36
11M. BacklundC000-120.063004719:04
58O. KylingtonD112+210.53020—18:57
44E. GudbransonD000030.05220—15:29
88A. MangiapaneL000-120.04102—15:22
73T. ToffoliC000-140.24000014:20
22T. LewisC000000.001102514:02
29D. DubeC101+210.121005014:02
16N. ZadorovD011020.05202—13:34
91C. JarnkrokC000+220.320003813:12
17M. LucicL000000.00400—11:22
20B. ColemanL112+230.15102—10:39
63A. RuzickaC000000.001004009:49
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(W)24222.9171.72-0.2860:00

Season series

CGY leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).