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Blackhawks at Flames
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Chicago Blackhawks
2
Calgary Flames
▸5
FinalTV NBCSCH, SN1·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Chicago Blackhawks 5-2. The Flames scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matthew Tkachuk's goal at 14:25 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 52% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 4.1 to 1.8; shots on goal were CHI 21, CGY 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 34 of 37 (.919); Jacob Markstrom stopped 19 of 21 (.905). Three stars: 1. Rasmus Andersson (2 A), 2. Matthew Tkachuk (1 G), 3. Milan Lucic (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    R. Andersson2 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    M. Tkachuk1 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    M. Lucic1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI171806221
CGYCGY213014312539

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    D. Dube(2)
    R. Andersson (10), N. Hanifin (7)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +3 pts
    0-1
    1:19
  2. CHI
    B. Hagel(6)
    R. Carpenter (2), R. Johnson (1)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    8:57
  3. CGY
    M. Lucic(5)
    B. Richardson (1)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    13:06

2nd period

  1. CHI
    R. Johnson(1)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    3:51

3rd period

  1. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(9)
    R. Andersson (11), E. Lindholm (13)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +37 pts
    2-3
    14:25
  2. CGY
    T. Lewis(2)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.52win prob +6 pts
    2-4
    18:39
  3. CGY
    J. Gaudreau(9)EN
    E. Lindholm (14)
    wristxG 0.91
    2-5
    19:34

Penalties

CHI 5 PIM·CGY 7 PIM

1st

  • 1:01CGYBlake Coleman · Fightingdrawn by Kirby Dach5 min
  • 1:01CHIKirby Dach · Fightingdrawn by Blake Coleman5 min
  • 14:44CGYSean Monahan · Cross checkingdrawn by Jonathan Toews2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalCHI goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Matthew Tkachuk, 3rd 14:25 — CGY 52% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.91T. Lewis · Goal · xG 0.52J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.29J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.18S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.18E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.14A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.14T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.14D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.09B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.09M. Lucic · Goal · xG 0.08M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.08M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.08E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.08D. Dube · Missed · xG 0.07M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.06M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.06M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.06B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.05A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.04T. Lewis · Missed · xG 0.04B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.04D. Dube · Goal · xG 0.04M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.03M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.03C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.03M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.02T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.02M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02O. Kylington · Missed · xG 0.02E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.02D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02C. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.02O. Kylington · On goal · xG 0.02O. Kylington · Missed · xG 0.01C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.01T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.01C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.01J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.01B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY5 G · 4.1 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsCGY
1.82 G
All situations
3 G4.1
1.62 G
Even strength
3 G2.7
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI33%67%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.75 – 2.66

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsCGY
21
Shots on goal
39
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/1
Power play
0/0
5
Penalty minutes
7
15
Hits
15
12
Blocked shots
12
6
Giveaways
17
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88P. KaneR000-250.3800010022:16
4S. JonesD000-200.00110—21:56
6J. McCabeD000030.11140—21:53
12A. DeBrincatR000-310.01100—21:38
77K. DachC000-330.261153619:52
44C. de HaanD000-200.01000—19:46
5C. MurphyD000-110.09230—19:38
56E. GustafssonD000010.04210—19:27
19J. ToewsC000-200.170005017:22
17D. StromeC000-100.00010016:39
38B. HagelL101-140.39110—16:13
82C. JonesD000-100.00000—15:20
8D. KubalikL000-200.05000—14:35
22R. CarpenterC011+110.040005012:13
13H. BorgstromC000-100.000003312:07
16J. KhairaL000+110.0330010011:01
52R. JohnsonC112+210.172005010:25
86M. HardmanL000000.00100—09:00
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(L)37343.9192.67-0.3358:39

Season series

CGY leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).