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Predators at Avalanche
NHL

Nashville Predators at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
2
Colorado Avalanche
▸6
FinalTV ALT, BSSO·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Nashville Predators 6-2. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Bowen Byram's goal at 6:19 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals were close — NSH 2.1, COL 2.4; shots on goal were NSH 28, COL 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. David Rittich stopped 29 of 35 (.829), 3.6 goals below expected; Jonas Johansson stopped 26 of 28 (.929). Three stars: 1. Mikko Rantanen (3 G, 1 A), 2. Cale Makar (3 A), 3. Gabriel Landeskog (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    M. Rantanen3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    C. Makar3 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    G. Landeskog2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH04112112228
COLCOL21411239635

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    M. Rantanen(8)PPG
    G. Landeskog (13), C. Makar (9)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    4:41
  2. COL
    M. Rantanen(9)PPG
    C. Makar (10), N. Kadri (19)
    slapxG 0.12win prob +11 pts
    0-2
    17:37

2nd period

  1. NSH
    L. Kunin(3)
    E. Tolvanen (5), R. Johansen (11)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    4:44
  2. COL
    B. Byram(4)
    G. Landeskog (14), C. Makar (11)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    6:19

3rd period

  1. COL
    V. Nichushkin(5)
    M. Rantanen (8), D. Toews (6)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +5 pts
    1-4
    6:42
  2. COL
    M. Rantanen(10)
    N. Kadri (20), D. Toews (7)
    wristxG 0.16
    1-5
    15:12
  3. NSH
    M. Duchene(13)
    M. Granlund (16), F. Forsberg (5)
    tip-inxG 0.03
    2-5
    16:28
  4. COL
    T. Jost(2)
    N. Aube-Kubel (2), E. Johnson (5)
    wristxG 0.08
    2-6
    18:55

Penalties

NSH 12 PIM·COL 21 PIM

1st

  • 3:57NSHMattias Ekholm · Holdingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 13:20NSHEeli Tolvanen · Holdingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min
  • 17:03NSHColton Sissons · Hookingdrawn by Logan O'Connor2 min

2nd

  • 10:36NSHNick Cousins · Roughingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 10:36COLNazem Kadri · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
  • 17:29NSHDante Fabbro · Slashingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min
  • 17:53NSHMattias Ekholm · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 17:53COLGabriel Landeskog · Roughingdrawn by Mattias Ekholm2 min
  • 17:53COLGabriel Landeskog · Fightingdrawn by Mattias Ekholm5 min
  • 17:53COLGabriel Landeskog · Misconduct10 min

3rd

  • 13:01COLJayson Megna · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalNSH goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Bowen Byram, 2nd 6:19 — COL 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.16G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.12B. Byram · Goal · xG 0.12M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.12V. Nichushkin · Goal · xG 0.12M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.11N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.10G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.09G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.09B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.08T. Jost · Goal · xG 0.08T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.08M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.07A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.07L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.07K. MacDermid · Missed · xG 0.07L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.06A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.05C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.03L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.03T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.03B. Byram · Missed · xG 0.03N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.03D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.02B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.02E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.02B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.02D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.02N. Aube-Kubel · Missed · xG 0.02E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.01C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.01L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.01A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.00V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.00
COL6 G · 2.4 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsCOL
2.12 G
All situations
6 G2.4
1.92 G
Even strength
4 G1.4
0.30 G
Power play
2 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH45%55%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.10 – 2.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsCOL
28
Shots on goal
35
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/2
Power play
2/4
12
Penalty minutes
21
31
Hits
20
23
Blocked shots
12
6
Giveaways
4
8
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD000-220.04010—22:09
45A. CarrierD000040.30150—21:44
14M. EkholmD000020.04004—20:42
64M. GranlundC011000.000103520:00
90M. BorowieckiD000000.02830—17:34
57D. FabbroD000-200.00102—17:13
95M. DucheneC101050.330002917:11
9F. ForsbergL011010.17200—16:45
5M. BenningD000+120.04410—15:56
11L. KuninC101040.4223010015:34
21N. CousinsC000-210.08302015:14
84T. JeannotL000-200.00330—14:37
82T. NovakC000-230.180203314:29
92R. JohansenC011+120.141205713:21
10C. SissonsC000-100.002226413:01
13Y. TreninC000-100.00200012:59
28E. TolvanenR011020.31202—12:48
26P. TomasinoR000000.0600010011:25
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33D. Rittich(L)35296.8292.36-3.6460:00

Season series

NSH leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).