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New York Rangers at New York Islanders

FinalTV MSG+ 2, MSG·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the New York Islanders 4-1. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kevin Rooney's goal at 14:28 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 68% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 2.4 to 1.8; shots on goal were NYR 21, NYI 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 20 of 21 (.952), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Chris Kreider (2 G), 2. Kevin Rooney (2 G), 3. Ryan Reaves (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    C. Kreider2 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    K. Rooney2 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    R. Reaves2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR082726421
NYINYI080815121

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. NYR
    C. Kreider(14)PPG
    R. Strome (10), A. Fox (15)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:29
  2. NYR
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    14:28

3rd period

  1. NYI
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    3:52
  2. NYR
    snapxG 0.20win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    4:12
  3. NYR
    snapxG 0.22win prob +4 pts
    4-1
    11:02

Penalties

NYR 19 PIM·NYI 17 PIM

1st

  • 1:23NYIKyle Palmieri · Slashingdrawn by Filip Chytil2 min
  • 3:57NYRBarclay Goodrow · High stickingdrawn by Zach Parise2 min
  • 15:05NYRAdam Fox · Hookingdrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min
  • 16:12NYIMathew Barzal · Hookingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min

2nd

  • 0:06NYIMathew Barzal · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Rooney2 min
  • 2:28NYRRyan Strome · Trippingdrawn by Thomas Hickey2 min
  • 5:30NYRFilip Chytil · Trippingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
  • 11:44NYIJean-Gabriel Pageau · High stickingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min
  • 17:39NYRRyan Strome · Interferencedrawn by Anthony Beauvillier2 min

3rd

  • 13:37NYRAdam Fox · Roughingdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min
  • 18:09NYIJean-Gabriel Pageau · Fightingdrawn by Alexis Lafrenière5 min
  • 18:09NYRAlexis Lafrenière · Fightingdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau5 min
  • 19:46NYRDryden Hunt · Slashingdrawn by Oliver Wahlstrom2 min
  • 19:46NYIOliver Wahlstrom · Slashingdrawn by Dryden Hunt2 min
  • 19:46NYIOliver Wahlstrom · Roughingdrawn by Dryden Hunt2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalNYR goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Kevin Rooney, 2nd 14:28 — NYR 68% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.20J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.18K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.16J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.16S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.12A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.09M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.09M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.09K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.08A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.08K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.07C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.07O. Koivula · On goal · xG 0.06S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.05M. Martin · Missed · xG 0.05C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.05A. Andreoff · Goal · xG 0.05K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.04S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.03A. Andreoff · On goal · xG 0.02G. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.02G. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.02S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.01P. LaDue · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI1 G · 1.8 xG · 26 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsNYI
2.44 G
All situations
1 G1.8
1.73 G
Even strength
1 G0.9
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 57 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR60%40%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.35 – 1.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsNYI
21
Shots on goal
21
42%
Faceoffs
58%
1/5
Power play
0/6
19
Penalty minutes
17
23
Hits
31
16
Blocked shots
9
8
Giveaways
9
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD011+120.07114—22:43
8J. TroubaD000020.18340—21:55
79K. MillerD000010.02020—19:29
55R. LindgrenD000+100.00030—18:57
16R. StromeC011010.150045518:24
93M. ZibanejadC011+120.440104418:11
20C. KreiderL202+130.66200—17:31
10A. PanarinL000020.16000—17:22
12P. NemethD011+110.01110—16:53
27N. LundkvistD000+110.15110—16:39
21B. GoodrowC011+210.073024515:49
17K. RooneyC202+230.350103315:14
24K. KakkoR011+100.00000—14:11
72F. ChytilC000-120.110122912:56
29D. HuntL000000.00302—11:31
13A. LafrenièreL000-100.00205—11:13
75R. ReavesR022+200.00610—09:46
15J. GauthierR000-100.00100—09:06
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(W)21201.9521.84+0.8460:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).