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Flames at Islanders
NHL

Calgary Flames at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
▸5
New York Islanders
2
FinalTV MSG+, MSG+ 2·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the New York Islanders 5-2. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brock Nelson's goal at 1:49 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 11% to 27%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.6 to 3.0; shots on goal were CGY 31, NYI 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 34 of 36 (.944), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Andrew Mangiapane (2 G), 2. Brock Nelson (2 G), 3. Noah Hanifin (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    A. Mangiapane2 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    B. Nelson2 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    N. Hanifin3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY2911527531
NYINYI11309114236

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    B. Richardson(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.28win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:05
  2. CGY
    A. Mangiapane(13)PPG
    N. Hanifin (4), J. Gaudreau (14)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    2-0
    13:18
  3. NYI
    B. Nelson(8)PPG
    R. Panik (1), K. Palmieri (6)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    2-1
    19:37

2nd period

  1. CGY
    A. Mangiapane(14)PPG
    N. Hanifin (5), M. Backlund (4)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    3-1
    6:43

3rd period

  1. NYI
    B. Nelson(9)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    3-2
    1:49
  2. CGY
    T. Lewis(1)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.22win prob +7 pts
    4-2
    18:45
  3. CGY
    J. Gaudreau(7)EN
    E. Lindholm (11), N. Hanifin (6)
    wristxG 0.59
    5-2
    19:22

Penalties

CGY 12 PIM·NYI 8 PIM

1st

  • 1:23CGYJohnny Gaudreau · Slashingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min
  • 4:42NYIKieffer Bellows · Interferencedrawn by Tyler Pitlick2 min
  • 9:31CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Slashingdrawn by Noah Dobson2 min
  • 11:56NYIserved by K. Bellows · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 14:14CGYBrad Richardson · Holdingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min
  • 19:31CGYChris Tanev · Hookingdrawn by Zach Parise2 min

2nd

  • 2:11CGYSean Monahan · Hookingdrawn by Oliver Wahlstrom2 min
  • 4:55NYIZdeno Chara · Hookingdrawn by Noah Hanifin2 min
  • 7:07CGYBlake Coleman · Boardingdrawn by Oliver Wahlstrom2 min
  • 11:47NYIKyle Palmieri · Interferencedrawn by Oliver Kylington2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalCGY goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Brock Nelson, 3rd 1:49 — NYI 11% → 27%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.24B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.23M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.22O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.18R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.16S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.16M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.14B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.13O. Wahlstrom · Missed · xG 0.12S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.12J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.11Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.11M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.11B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.11B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.11K. Bellows · On goal · xG 0.10J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.10J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.09B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.07M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.07S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.06R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.05S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.05O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.05S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.04N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.04O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.04M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.04O. Wahlstrom · Missed · xG 0.04K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.03R. Salo · Missed · xG 0.03S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.03O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.03O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.03S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.03N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.03S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.02G. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.02
NYI2 G · 3.6 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsNYI
3.03 G
All situations
2 G3.6
1.51 G
Even strength
1 G2.5
0.72 G
Power play
1 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY26%74%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.14 – 3.60

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsNYI
31
Shots on goal
36
49%
Faceoffs
51%
2/4
Power play
1/6
12
Penalty minutes
8
18
Hits
21
13
Blocked shots
16
11
Giveaways
10
1
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55N. HanifinD033+110.02020—22:07
4R. AnderssonD000050.15120—21:47
28E. LindholmC011+220.170003321:04
8C. TanevD000+300.00012—20:47
44E. GudbransonD000-100.00230—18:26
58O. KylingtonD000+200.00010—18:17
88A. MangiapaneL202030.2811010017:25
11M. BacklundC011000.001006516:23
19M. TkachukL000+130.30202—15:48
13J. GaudreauL112+140.73102—15:42
23S. MonahanC000-100.021024015:24
20B. ColemanL000+120.34212—15:01
16N. ZadorovD000-110.06100—14:03
22T. LewisC101+230.26210013:41
29D. DubeC000-130.22110012:07
18T. PitlickC000-110.06200010:56
15B. RichardsonR101+120.310026010:53
17M. LucicL000+110.05100—10:10
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(W)36342.9443.60+1.6060:00

Season series

CGY leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).