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Flames at Senators
NHL

Calgary Flames at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
▸4
Ottawa Senators
0
FinalTV TVAS, SNW·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Ottawa Senators 4-0. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Elias Lindholm's goal at 4:51 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 2.9 to 1.8; shots on goal were CGY 33, OTT 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Dan Vladar stopped 27 of 27 (1.000), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Anton Forsberg stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Dan Vladar (27 saves, 1.000), 2. Elias Lindholm (1 G, 1 A), 3. Sean Monahan (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    D. Vladar27 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    CGY
    E. Lindholm1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    S. Monahan2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY17216110433
OTTOTT0120609027

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    A. Mangiapane(10)
    S. Monahan (5), O. Kylington (8)
    deflectedxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    16:07

2nd period

  1. CGY
    E. Lindholm(8)
    R. Andersson (8)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    4:51
  2. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(7)PPG
    E. Lindholm (8), S. Monahan (6)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +9 pts
    3-0
    9:18

3rd period

  1. CGY
    N. Zadorov(2)
    B. Coleman (3)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +2 pts
    4-0
    1:56

Penalties

CGY 15 PIM·OTT 13 PIM

1st

  • 3:42OTTMichael Del Zotto · High stickingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 11:43CGYErik Gudbranson · Elbowingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 13:29CGYBlake Coleman · Hookingdrawn by Lassi Thomson2 min

2nd

  • 8:14OTTZachary Sanford · Roughingdrawn by Sean Monahan2 min
  • 10:29OTTEgor Sokolov · Interferencedrawn by Chris Tanev2 min
  • 15:25CGYserved by M. Tkachuk · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 19:41CGYNikita Zadorov · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 20:00OTTZachary Sanford · Fightingdrawn by Erik Gudbranson5 min
  • 20:00CGYErik Gudbranson · Fightingdrawn by Zachary Sanford5 min

3rd

  • 3:29CGYNikita Zadorov · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 11:28OTTEgor Sokolov · Hookingdrawn by Noah Hanifin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalCGY goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Elias Lindholm, 2nd 4:51 — CGY 64% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.18J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.12E. Sokolov · On goal · xG 0.10B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.09T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.08J. Norris · Missed · xG 0.08B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.08T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.08L. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.07T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.07E. Sokolov · On goal · xG 0.06N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.06B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.05E. Sokolov · On goal · xG 0.05T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.04J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.03T. Ennis · Missed · xG 0.03P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.03L. Thomson · On goal · xG 0.03N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.03L. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.02T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.02A. Agozzino · On goal · xG 0.02T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.02M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.02M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.02S. Sabourin · Missed · xG 0.02E. Sokolov · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02M. Del Zotto · Missed · xG 0.01M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.01M. Del Zotto · Missed · xG 0.01J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.01T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.01D. Heatherington · Missed · xG 0.01M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.01S. Sabourin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Del Zotto · Missed · xG 0.01L. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.01D. Heatherington · On goal · xG 0.00D. Heatherington · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT0 G · 1.8 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsOTT
2.94 G
All situations
0 G1.8
1.83 G
Even strength
0 G0.8
1.11 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY70%30%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.87 – 1.76

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsOTT
33
Shots on goal
27
59%
Faceoffs
41%
1/4
Power play
0/5
15
Penalty minutes
13
23
Hits
34
9
Blocked shots
14
7
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28E. LindholmC112+150.550007122:20
8C. TanevD000+110.03220—22:16
4R. AnderssonD011+110.01210—21:57
55N. HanifinD000+120.02100—20:53
19M. TkachukL101+140.84100—18:25
13J. GaudreauL000+230.16000—17:36
58O. KylingtonD011+220.05200—17:34
16N. ZadorovD101+240.18214—16:16
20B. ColemanL011+120.07212—16:00
88A. MangiapaneL101+220.38100—15:13
44E. GudbransonD000010.00017—14:50
11M. BacklundC000010.041004514:03
22T. LewisC000030.14200013:52
23S. MonahanC022+110.120104513:40
15B. RichardsonR000000.003108313:12
17M. LucicL000010.25310—11:57
29D. DubeC000000.07100011:09
61W. DuehrR000000.00000—08:47
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
80D. Vladar(W)272701.0001.77+1.7760:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).