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Philadelphia Flyers at Dallas Stars

FinalTV BSSW, NBCSP+·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-2. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Roope Hintz's goal at 12:22 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 72% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.5 to 2.5; shots on goal were PHI 33, DAL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Martin Jones stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 0.9 goals below expected; Anton Khudobin stopped 31 of 33 (.939). Three stars: 1. Anton Khudobin (31 saves, .939), 2. Roope Hintz (1 G, 1 A), 3. Joe Pavelski (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    A. Khudobin31 saves, .939
  2. ★★
    DAL
    R. Hintz1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    J. Pavelski1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI0191519233
DALDAL17210214531

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    13:23

2nd period

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    12:22
  2. PHI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    16:36
  3. DAL
    tip-inxG 0.22win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    17:02

3rd period

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.35win prob +5 pts
    1-4
    2:27
  2. PHI
    slapxG 0.04win prob +4 pts
    2-4
    8:07
  3. DAL
    wristxG 0.41win prob +1 pts
    2-5
    17:57

Penalties

PHI 6 PIM·DAL 8 PIM

1st

  • 7:17DALserved by A. Radulov · Delaying game bench face off violation2 min
  • 14:05DALJoe Pavelski · High stickingdrawn by Justin Braun2 min

2nd

  • 2:07DALTyler Seguin · Trippingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min
  • 2:37PHISean Couturier · Trippingdrawn by Esa Lindell2 min
  • 18:16PHIKevin Hayes · Cross checkingdrawn by Michael Raffl2 min

3rd

  • 1:19PHIJoel Farabee · Interferencedrawn by Roope Hintz2 min
  • 6:16DALAlexander Radulov · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Hayes2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalPHI goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Roope Hintz, 2nd 12:22 — DAL 72% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Faksa · Goal · xG 0.42J. Pavelski · Goal · xG 0.35J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.24T. Seguin · Goal · xG 0.22M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.17J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.14D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.13J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.12R. Hintz · Goal · xG 0.11J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.10D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.08D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.08R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.08J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.08J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.08J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.08J. Peterson · Missed · xG 0.07R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.07L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.06M. Raffl · Missed · xG 0.06T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.06R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.06J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.06D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.06A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.05L. Glendening · Goal · xG 0.05A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.04R. Faksa · Missed · xG 0.04R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.04J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.04R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.04J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.03R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.03R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.02R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.02D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.01L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.01D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.01D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.01L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.00A. Sekera · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL5 G · 3.5 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsDAL
2.52 G
All situations
4 G3.5
1.61 G
Even strength
3 G2.5
0.81 G
Power play
1 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI40%60%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.48 – 3.03

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsDAL
33
Shots on goal
31
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/4
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
13
Hits
23
16
Blocked shots
14
10
Giveaways
10
1
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD101-140.11110—24:32
70R. RistolainenD000-130.10110—19:59
14S. CouturierC000+110.131025719:42
6T. SanheimD000030.12120—19:38
94R. EllisD011-120.03020—18:45
25J. van RiemsdykL101+130.45010—18:20
61J. BraunD000-110.02040—18:00
28C. GirouxR000+120.251006717:03
86J. FarabeeL000000.00102—16:53
21S. LaughtonC000-110.151002916:39
3K. YandleD000-230.10210—15:22
19D. BrassardC000-110.21000015:15
13K. HayesR011-130.110022514:52
11T. KonecnyR000-230.361105013:46
89C. AtkinsonR000-110.10000—12:56
44N. ThompsonC000-210.152106412:07
23O. LindblomL000-310.06020—12:03
17Z. MacEwenR000-200.01100—10:24
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35M. Jones(L)30264.8673.07-0.9358:36

Season series

DAL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).