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Lightning at Canadiens
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸6
Montréal Canadiens
3
FinalTV NBC, CBC·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Montréal Canadiens 6-3. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikita Kucherov's goal at 1:40 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 63% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.3 to 2.0; shots on goal were TBL 30, MTL 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 32 of 35 (.914), 1.0 goals below expected; Carey Price stopped 24 of 29 (.828), 2.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tyler Johnson (2 G), 2. Nikita Kucherov (1 G, 1 A), 3. Victor Hedman (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    T. Johnson2 G
  2. ★★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    V. Hedman1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL2122929630
MTLMTL11718110335

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    J. Rutta(2)
    O. Palat (7), V. Hedman (16)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    1:52
  2. TBL
    V. Hedman(2)PPG
    N. Kucherov (24), A. Cirelli (7)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    2-0
    3:27
  3. MTL
    P. Danault(1)
    S. Weber (5)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    11:16

2nd period

  1. TBL
    N. Kucherov(8)
    O. Palat (8), E. Cernak (9)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    1:40
  2. TBL
    T. Johnson(3)
    M. Joseph (1), D. Savard (4)
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    4-1
    3:33
  3. MTL
    N. Suzuki(7)
    J. Petry (6), C. Caufield (6)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +8 pts
    4-2
    18:04

3rd period

  1. TBL
    T. Johnson(4)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +2 pts
    5-2
    15:19
  2. MTL
    C. Perry(4)
    B. Gallagher (4), B. Chiarot (1)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +1 pts
    5-3
    15:58
  3. TBL
    B. Coleman(3)EN
    B. Goodrow (4)
    backhandxG 0.89win prob +2 pts
    6-3
    16:48

Penalties

TBL 2 PIM·MTL 2 PIM

1st

  • 2:54MTLEric Staal · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 17:29TBLMikhail Sergachev · Interferencedrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalTBL goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Nikita Kucherov, 2nd 1:40 — TBL 63% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.15B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.15B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.12C. Perry · Goal · xG 0.11B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.10J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.09B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.09P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.09B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.07C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.07A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.06S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.06E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.05P. Danault · Goal · xG 0.04S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.04T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.04S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.04J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.04C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.03B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.03E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.03E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.03E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.03S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.02J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.02S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.02S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.02E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.02P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.01P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.01N. Suzuki · Goal · xG 0.01J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.01B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.01C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.01B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.01C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.01N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.01
MTL3 G · 2.0 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsMTL
3.35 G
All situations
3 G2.0
2.44 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
0.01 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL57%43%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.29 – 1.96

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsMTL
30
Shots on goal
35
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/1
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
46
Hits
38
13
Blocked shots
11
15
Giveaways
26
2
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27R. McDonaghD000+300.01100—25:29
81E. CernakD011+110.11400—23:06
77V. HedmanD112020.05120—21:46
98M. SergachevD000-110.02132—20:45
37Y. GourdeC000+120.031005519:20
19B. GoodrowC011+110.134003818:35
20B. ColemanL101+110.89310—17:21
21B. PointC000-200.071304216:58
86N. KucherovR112060.68100—16:49
18O. PalatL022030.20800—16:10
44J. RuttaD101+140.05100—16:00
71A. CirelliC011+100.003006315:39
79R. ColtonC000-110.18300014:19
91S. StamkosC000-110.035108014:16
58D. SavardD011020.01230—12:29
14P. MaroonL000+200.13100—10:02
7M. JosephR011+210.13500—09:48
9T. JohnsonC202+240.561005009:08
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(W)35323.9141.98-1.0260:00

Series

TBL leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).