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Canadiens at Lightning
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning

FinalTV NBCSN, CBC·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Montréal Canadiens 5-1. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikita Kucherov's goal at 2:00 of the third period, which took the Lightning's chances from 76% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.2 to 2.1; shots on goal were MTL 19, TBL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Carey Price stopped 22 of 27 (.815), 1.9 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 18 of 19 (.947), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nikita Kucherov (2 G, 1 A), 2. Brayden Point (3 A), 3. Erik Cernak (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    B. Point3 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    E. Cernak1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL051905119
TBLTBL1711238527

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:19

2nd period

  1. TBL
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    5:47
  2. MTL
    slapxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    17:40

3rd period

  1. TBL
    backhandxG 0.01win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    2:00
  2. TBL
    wristxG 0.07win prob +3 pts
    1-4
    11:25
  3. TBL
    slapxG 0.12
    1-5
    18:50

Penalties

MTL 8 PIM·TBL 6 PIM

1st

  • 15:21TBLBarclay Goodrow · Cross checkingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min
  • 19:14MTLBen Chiarot · Roughingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min

3rd

  • 6:30TBLErik Cernak · Roughingdrawn by Eric Staal2 min
  • 6:30MTLEric Staal · Roughingdrawn by Erik Cernak2 min
  • 13:42TBLBlake Coleman · Roughingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min
  • 15:51MTLJesperi Kotkaniemi · High stickingdrawn by Erik Cernak2 min
  • 17:20MTLJoel Edmundson · Roughingdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalMTL goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Nikita Kucherov, 3rd 2:00 — TBL 76% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.20B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.19B. Point · On goal · xG 0.19T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.17P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.16A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.13R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.13B. Goodrow · Missed · xG 0.13S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.12N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.12S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.12B. Point · On goal · xG 0.10Y. Gourde · Goal · xG 0.09E. Cernak · Goal · xG 0.09S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.08Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.08S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.08O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.08V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.08N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.07N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.07S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.07B. Point · On goal · xG 0.07T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.07A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.06O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.06O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.05V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.05J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.04O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.04E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.03Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.02D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.02E. Cernak · Missed · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.01R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.01A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.01E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.01
TBL5 G · 3.2 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsTBL
2.11 G
All situations
5 G3.2
1.81 G
Even strength
4 G2.1
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL31%69%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.07 – 3.14

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsTBL
19
Shots on goal
27
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
58
Hits
57
5
Blocked shots
15
3
Giveaways
9
5
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6S. WeberD011+150.29600—25:20
26J. PetryD000-210.05300—25:01
8B. ChiarotD101-210.07722—23:41
44J. EdmundsonD000-200.00702—23:37
14N. SuzukiC000-300.101102917:45
24P. DanaultC000000.031006417:13
73T. ToffoliC000-310.12200016:37
62A. LehkonenL000-120.08700—15:46
22C. CaufieldR000-320.24200—14:28
11B. GallagherR000-130.25200—14:04
41P. ByronL000+100.00300—14:02
94C. PerryR000000.25110—13:59
17J. AndersonR000+120.29810—13:16
15J. KotkaniemiC011000.063023812:49
21E. StaalC000010.151025012:37
71J. EvansC000010.063007511:55
28J. MerrillD000-100.03100—10:30
32E. GustafssonD000000.00000—09:48
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31C. Price(L)27225.8153.15-1.8560:00

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).