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Golden Knights at Avalanche
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
2
Colorado Avalanche
▸3
Final/OTTV NBCSN, CBC·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Vegas Golden Knights 3-2 in overtime, Mikko Rantanen scoring at 2:07. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikko Rantanen's goal at 2:07 of overtime, which took the Avalanche's chances from 52% to 100%. Expected goals were close — VGK 2.9, COL 2.8; shots on goal were VGK 41, COL 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 22 of 25 (.880); Philipp Grubauer stopped 39 of 41 (.951), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Philipp Grubauer (39 saves, .951), 2. Mikko Rantanen (1 G), 3. Cale Makar (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    P. Grubauer39 saves, .951
  2. ★★
    COL
    M. Rantanen1 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    C. Makar1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
VGKVGK1911601501241
COLCOL211060612325

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    B. Saad(5)
    S. Girard (4), R. Graves (5)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:39
  2. VGK
    A. Martinez(2)PPG
    M. Pacioretty (2), S. Theodore (3)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +10 pts
    1-1
    9:32
  3. COL
    T. Jost(2)PPG
    S. Girard (5), D. Toews (4)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    17:08

2nd period

  1. VGK
    R. Smith(2)
    J. Marchessault (2), S. Theodore (4)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +19 pts
    2-2
    10:28

Overtime

  1. COL
    M. Rantanen(3)PPG
    N. MacKinnon (5), C. Makar (6)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +48 pts
    2-3
    2:07

Penalties

VGK 12 PIM·COL 6 PIM

1st

  • 6:13VGKNicolas Hague · Holdingdrawn by Valeri Nichushkin2 min
  • 8:36COLAlex Newhook · Holdingdrawn by Jonathan Marchessault2 min
  • 11:45VGKMax Pacioretty · Holdingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min
  • 15:38VGKJonathan Marchessault · Slashingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 17:50VGKShea Theodore · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 13:05COLPatrik Nemeth · Slashingdrawn by Jonathan Marchessault2 min

3rd

  • 10:08VGKAlex Tuch · Slashingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 16:39COLDevon Toews · Trippingdrawn by Alex Pietrangelo2 min

OT

  • 0:44VGKReilly Smith · Slashingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalVGK goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Mikko Rantanen, OT 2:07 — COL 52% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.32A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.19V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.16G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.15N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.15N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.14J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.14G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.13M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.12T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.10G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.08B. Saad · Goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.08G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.08T. Jost · Goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.07T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.06B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.05J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.04V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.03V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.03R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.02C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.02M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.02R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.02P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.00
COL3 G · 2.8 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsCOL
2.92 G
All situations
3 G2.8
2.21 G
Even strength
1 G1.2
0.61 G
Power play
2 G1.6
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK52%48%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.92 – 2.82

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsCOL
41
Shots on goal
25
56%
Faceoffs
44%
1/3
Power play
2/6
12
Penalty minutes
6
21
Hits
22
28
Blocked shots
17
3
Giveaways
8
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7A. PietrangeloD000-160.16070—27:16
23A. MartinezD101-120.24240—23:51
27S. TheodoreD022+130.08122—22:53
61M. StoneR000020.25000—22:05
20C. StephensonC000030.291005721:45
67M. PaciorettyL011040.35012—19:09
71W. KarlssonC000010.172207318:44
2Z. WhitecloudD000030.11030—17:52
19R. SmithR101020.26322—17:45
22N. HoldenD000+120.05320—16:39
10N. RoyC000000.003105014:58
81J. MarchessaultR011040.30202—14:56
89A. TuchR000010.2501210014:23
14N. HagueD000020.14112—14:16
15D. SikuraR000010.05120—09:08
55K. KolesarR000020.1300010008:52
28W. CarrierL000020.09100—07:36
38P. BrownC000010.011005707:34
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(L)25223.8802.84-0.1662:07

Series

VGK leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).