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Golden Knights at Avalanche
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
1
Colorado Avalanche
▸7
FinalTV NBC, CBC·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Vegas Golden Knights 7-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 6-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gabriel Landeskog's goal at 10:13 of the first period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 2.8 to 1.4; shots on goal were VGK 25, COL 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Robin Lehner stopped 30 of 37 (.811), 4.2 goals below expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 24 of 25 (.960). Three stars: 1. Nathan MacKinnon (2 G, 1 A), 2. Cale Makar (1 G, 3 A), 3. Mikko Rantanen (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    C. Makar1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    M. Rantanen1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK081908125
COLCOL214413110737

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    M. Rantanen(2)
    D. Toews (3), C. Makar (3)
    backhandxG 0.01win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:55
  2. COL
    G. Landeskog(3)
    C. Makar (4), S. Girard (3)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    10:13

2nd period

  1. COL
    B. Saad(4)
    V. Nichushkin (2), C. Makar (5)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    1:04
  2. COL
    N. MacKinnon(7)
    R. Graves (4)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +4 pts
    0-4
    4:03
  3. COL
    G. Landeskog(4)PPG
    M. Rantanen (7), N. MacKinnon (4)
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +1 pts
    0-5
    14:23
  4. VGK
    W. Karlsson(2)
    M. Pacioretty (1), J. Marchessault (1)
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +1 pts
    1-5
    14:59
  5. COL
    N. MacKinnon(8)
    J. Donskoi (2), G. Landeskog (7)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +1 pts
    1-6
    17:05

3rd period

  1. COL
    C. Makar(2)PPG
    T. Jost (2), A. Burakovsky (2)
    slapxG 0.08
    1-7
    15:49

Penalties

VGK 44 PIM·COL 30 PIM

1st

  • 7:26COLBrandon Saad · High stickingdrawn by Zach Whitecloud2 min

2nd

  • 8:26COLRyan Graves · Interferencedrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min
  • 8:26VGKNicolas Roy · Roughingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min
  • 8:26COLTyson Jost · Roughingdrawn by Nicolas Roy2 min
  • 10:49VGKWilliam Carrier · Roughingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min
  • 13:15VGKWilliam Carrier · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Graves2 min

3rd

  • 3:47VGKMax Pacioretty · Roughingdrawn by J.T. Compher2 min
  • 3:47VGKNicolas Hague · Roughingdrawn by Andre Burakovsky2 min
  • 3:47COLJ.T. Compher · Roughingdrawn by Max Pacioretty2 min
  • 3:47COLAndre Burakovsky · Roughingdrawn by Nicolas Hague2 min
  • 8:04VGKRyan Reaves · Roughingdrawn by Philipp Grubauer2 min
  • 8:04VGKRyan Reaves · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Graves2 min
  • 8:04VGKAlex Pietrangelo · Misconductdrawn by Brandon Saad10 min
  • 8:04COLValeri Nichushkin · Misconductdrawn by Zach Whitecloud10 min
  • 8:04VGKZach Whitecloud · Misconductdrawn by Valeri Nichushkin10 min
  • 8:04COLBrandon Saad · Misconductdrawn by Alex Pietrangelo10 min
  • 8:04VGKRyan Reaves · Match penatly 10 minutesdrawn by Ryan Graves10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalVGK goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Gabriel Landeskog, 1st 10:13 — COL 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.16G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.15M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.14J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.14C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.13N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.11N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.11J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.11V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.10J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.10N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.09A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.08C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.08C. Makar · Goal · xG 0.08B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.08B. Saad · Goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07P. Bellemare · Missed · xG 0.07G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.06T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.05A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.04T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.04S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.04G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.04J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.04V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.04V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.02B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.02T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.02T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.01C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.01C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.01M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.01V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.01P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.00
COL7 G · 2.8 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsCOL
1.41 G
All situations
7 G2.8
0.91 G
Even strength
5 G1.5
0.20 G
Power play
2 G1.3
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK24%76%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.42 – 2.81

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsCOL
25
Shots on goal
37
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/2
Power play
2/5
44
Penalty minutes
30
26
Hits
17
10
Blocked shots
11
7
Giveaways
3
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27S. TheodoreD000-130.10000—24:22
23A. MartinezD000-210.00030—22:12
7A. PietrangeloD000-220.071110—19:32
22N. HoldenD000-110.00200—19:31
61M. StoneR000-140.1910010018:22
14N. HagueD000-110.02012—18:19
20C. StephensonC000000.001005718:02
89A. TuchR000-140.46000—17:01
67M. PaciorettyL011+110.01202—16:53
19R. SmithR000-310.02110—16:17
81J. MarchessaultR011-220.12210—15:39
71W. KarlssonC101-230.190104015:25
2Z. WhitecloudD000-100.052110—15:20
38P. BrownC000010.215006314:03
10N. RoyC000-200.001029113:30
28W. CarrierL000-110.00304—12:28
75R. ReavesR000000.005114—09:33
26M. JanmarkC000-100.00000005:15
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
90R. Lehner(L)37307.8112.81-4.1959:45

Series

VGK leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).