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Avalanche at Blues
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸5
St. Louis Blues
2
FinalTV NBCSN, ALT·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the St. Louis Blues 5-2. The Blues scored first; the Avalanche answered. The Avalanche led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gabriel Landeskog's goal at 14:53 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 47% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 5.1 to 1.2; shots on goal were COL 34, STL 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 18 of 20 (.900), 0.8 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 29 of 32 (.906). Three stars: 1. Mikko Rantanen (1 G, 1 A), 2. Vladimir Tarasenko (2 G), 3. Gabriel Landeskog (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    M. Rantanen1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    V. Tarasenko2 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    G. Landeskog1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL010214310534
STLSTL061519220

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. STL
    V. Tarasenko(1)
    R. O'Reilly (2)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +17 pts
    0-1
    4:25
  2. COL
    B. Saad(3)PPG
    C. Makar (2), P. Grubauer (1)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    11:37
  3. COL
    G. Landeskog(2)
    S. Girard (2), M. Rantanen (6)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +21 pts
    2-1
    14:53

3rd period

  1. COL
    M. Rantanen(1)
    N. MacKinnon (3), G. Landeskog (6)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    4:20
  2. STL
    V. Tarasenko(2)PPG
    R. Thomas (3), R. O'Reilly (3)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    3-2
    8:39
  3. COL
    N. MacKinnon(6)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.67win prob +1 pts
    4-2
    19:04
  4. COL
    V. Nichushkin(1)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.89
    5-2
    19:54

Penalties

COL 6 PIM·STL 8 PIM

1st

  • 18:41COLMikko Rantanen · Trippingdrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min

2nd

  • 5:09STLTorey Krug · Slashingdrawn by Carl Soderberg2 min
  • 5:09COLCarl Soderberg · Roughingdrawn by Torey Krug2 min
  • 9:39STLNiko Mikkola · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Graves2 min

3rd

  • 7:29COLTyson Jost · High stickingdrawn by Torey Krug2 min
  • 18:12STLMike Hoffman · High sticking double minordrawn by Nathan MacKinnon4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalCOL goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Gabriel Landeskog, 2nd 14:53 — COL 47% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.15V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.15I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.14R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.10S. Santini · Missed · xG 0.08V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.07M. Scandella · Missed · xG 0.07C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.06J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.05T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.04V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.04V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.03T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.02R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.02J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.02T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.02T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.02V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.01T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · Missed · xG 0.01K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.01T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.01M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.01M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.00C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.00
STL2 G · 1.2 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsSTL
5.13 G
All situations
2 G1.2
2.92 G
Even strength
1 G1.1
0.21 G
Power play
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL81%19%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.94 – 1.24

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsSTL
34
Shots on goal
20
47%
Faceoffs
53%
3/3
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
8
11
Hits
20
13
Blocked shots
19
7
Giveaways
11
9
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. ToewsD000+120.02100—24:59
8C. MakarD011+130.14010—24:01
49S. GirardD011+120.21110—22:50
96M. RantanenR112+130.20002—22:23
29N. MacKinnonC112+230.830003821:31
92G. LandeskogL112+130.180203621:16
27R. GravesD000+130.07130—19:53
24P. NemethD000-130.06100—19:32
37J. CompherL000020.390004616:27
20B. SaadL101020.7011010016:16
13V. NichushkinR101021.06210—15:35
72J. DonskoiR000030.39020—14:40
17T. JostC000000.071023813:43
95A. BurakovskyL000010.23010—13:22
34C. SoderbergC000010.30102010:00
41P. BellemareL000-100.082107809:54
22C. TimminsD000-110.16000—07:00
18A. NewhookC000000.00000001:28
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(W)20182.9001.24-0.7660:00

Series

COL leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).