Boston Bruins at Washington Capitals
Recap
written from the game dataThe Boston Bruins beat the Washington Capitals 3-1. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Patrice Bergeron's goal at 14:05 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 68% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.1 to 1.7; shots on goal were BOS 19, WSH 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Tuukka Rask stopped 40 of 41 (.976), 2.1 goals saved above expected; Ilya Samsonov stopped 16 of 19 (.842), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tuukka Rask (40 saves, .976), 2. Patrice Bergeron (2 G), 3. Conor Sheary (1 G).
Three stars
- ★T. Rask40 saves, .976

- ★★P. Bergeron2 G

- ★★★C. Sheary1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals2nd period
1-02:28
2-014:05
3rd period
2-10:11
3-112:25
Penalties
1st
- 5:09
Garnet Hathaway · Roughingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
- 5:09
Taylor Hall · Roughingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
- 6:46
David Pastrnak · Trippingdrawn by Justin Schultz2 min
- 8:47
Tom Wilson · Cross checkingdrawn by Jake DeBrusk2 min
- 16:14
Brad Marchand · Roughingdrawn by John Carlson2 min
- 19:31
Craig Smith · Trippingdrawn by Alex Ovechkin2 min
2nd
- 3:48
Daniel Sprong · Holdingdrawn by Jarred Tinordi2 min
3rd
- 12:45
Mike Reilly · Cross checkingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
- 16:18
Daniel Sprong · Trippingdrawn by Charlie McAvoy2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Patrice Bergeron, 2nd 14:05 — 68% → 85%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.73 G
- All situations
- 1 G3.1
- 1.33 G
- Even strength
- 1 G2.0
- 0.30 G
- Power play
- 0 G1.1
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.73 – 3.07
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 19
- Shots on goal
- 41
- 47%
- Faceoffs
- 53%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 0/4
- 10
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 26
- Hits
- 36
- 19
- Blocked shots
- 14
- 5
- Giveaways
- 9
- 4
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Series
BOS leads 4-1
2@
3OTFinal
4@
3OTFinal
2@
3OTFinal
1@
4Final
3@
1this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
