Skip to content

Boston Bruins at Washington Capitals

Final/OTTV NBC, CBC·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Boston Bruins 3-2 in overtime, Nic Dowd scoring at 4:41. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nic Dowd's goal at 4:41 of overtime, which took the Capitals' chances from 52% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 2.7 to 1.8; shots on goal were BOS 26, WSH 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Tuukka Rask stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 1.2 goals below expected; Craig Anderson stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nic Dowd (1 G), 2. Craig Anderson (21 saves, .955), 3. Brenden Dillon (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    N. Dowd1 G
  2. ★★
    WSH
    C. Anderson21 saves, .955
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    B. Dillon1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
BOSBOS17190802226
WSHWSH1111110911332

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:22
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    13:10

2nd period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.01win prob +18 pts
    1-2
    8:44
  2. BOS
    deflectedxG 0.16win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    16:38

Overtime

  1. WSH
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +48 pts
    2-3
    4:41

Penalties

BOS 2 PIM·WSH 8 PIM

1st

  • 7:58WSHJohn Carlson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 16:42WSHJustin Schultz · Trippingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min

2nd

  • 9:01BOSJeremy Lauzon · Cross checkingdrawn by Alex Ovechkin2 min
  • 15:21WSHDmitry Orlov · High stickingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min

3rd

  • 5:06WSHMichael Raffl · Trippingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalBOS goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Nic Dowd, OT 4:41 — WSH 52% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.17N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.15N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.09A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.08L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.07N. Dowd · Goal · xG 0.07J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.07M. Raffl · Missed · xG 0.07A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.06N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.06J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.06T. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.05L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.05T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.05N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.05L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.05T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.04D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.04T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.03D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.03D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.03L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.03D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.03T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.02A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.02L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.02N. Jensen · Missed · xG 0.02D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.02M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.02M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.01D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.01B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.01N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.01G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · Goal · xG 0.01Z. Chara · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Chara · Missed · xG 0.01C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.00A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.00C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH3 G · 1.8 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsWSH
2.72 G
All situations
3 G1.8
2.01 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS65%35%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.64 – 1.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsWSH
26
Shots on goal
32
60%
Faceoffs
40%
1/4
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
8
41
Hits
51
19
Blocked shots
16
7
Giveaways
6
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
48M. GrzelcykD000-130.04000—24:52
73C. McAvoyD011-150.24210—23:57
63B. MarchandL000010.190105023:07
88D. PastrnakR011060.85000—21:31
37P. BergeronC000000.160206421:03
86K. MillerD000-110.02310—19:33
46D. KrejciC000-220.330206019:16
55J. LauzonD000-110.02842—19:12
12C. SmithC000-210.16200018:59
71T. HallL000-220.163005017:49
25B. CarloD000000.04020—17:42
6M. ReillyD000000.00010—16:37
13C. CoyleC000-110.01220015:06
21N. RitchieL101-110.16400—14:38
52S. KuralyC000-110.036205713:29
74J. DeBruskL101+110.12100—12:00
14C. WagnerR000+100.08810—11:37
20C. LazarC011+100.072007510:57
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40T. Rask(L)32293.9061.84-1.1664:41

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).