Philadelphia Flyers at Washington Capitals
Recap
written from the game dataThe Philadelphia Flyers beat the Washington Capitals 4-2. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Wade Allison's goal at 14:45 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 68% to 86%. Expected goals were close — PHI 2.2, WSH 2.2; shots on goal were PHI 29, WSH 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Brian Elliott stopped 28 of 30 (.933); Vitek Vanecek stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Wade Allison (2 G), 2. Brian Elliott (28 saves, .933), 3. Daniel Sprong (1 G).
Three stars
- ★W. Allison2 G

- ★★B. Elliott28 saves, .933

- ★★★D. Sprong1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals1st period
1-01:44
1-116:19
2nd period
2-14:19
3-114:45
3-218:51
3rd period
4-219:29
Penalties
2nd
- 0:35
Daniel Sprong · Trippingdrawn by Ivan Provorov2 min
- 5:16
Dmitry Orlov · Hookingdrawn by Cam York2 min
- 9:09
Justin Braun · Interferencedrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Wade Allison, 2nd 14:45 — 68% → 86%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.23 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.2
- 1.53 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.9
- 0.40 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.90 – 2.18
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 29
- Shots on goal
- 30
- 57%
- Faceoffs
- 43%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 15
- Hits
- 17
- 13
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 4
- Giveaways
- 3
- 4
- Takeaways
- 10
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
