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Flyers at Capitals
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
▸7
Washington Capitals
4
FinalTV NBC, SN·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Washington Capitals 7-4. The Flyers came back from two goals down. It was tied 4-4 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sean Couturier's goal at 0:31 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 47% to 72%. Expected goals were close — PHI 2.8, WSH 2.7; shots on goal were PHI 23, WSH 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 33 of 37 (.892), 1.3 goals below expected; Vitek Vanecek stopped 10 of 14 (.714), 2.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Scott Laughton (3 G), 2. Alex Ovechkin (2 G, 2 A), 3. Sean Couturier (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    S. Laughton3 G
  2. ★★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin2 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    S. Couturier2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI183639723
WSHWSH21521507437

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(4)PPG
    T. Wilson (5), L. Eller (2)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    11:11
  2. WSH
    T. Wilson(5)
    N. Backstrom (10), A. Ovechkin (6)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    16:36
  3. PHI
    S. Laughton(2)
    E. Gustafsson (7), J. Farabee (4)
    wristxG 0.35win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    18:33

2nd period

  1. PHI
    S. Laughton(3)
    J. Farabee (5), J. van Riemsdyk (11)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    2:29
  2. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(5)
    N. Backstrom (11), T. Wilson (6)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +17 pts
    2-3
    4:08
  3. PHI
    R. Hagg(1)
    N. Aube-Kubel (3), S. Couturier (2)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +18 pts
    3-3
    7:50
  4. PHI
    J. van Riemsdyk(7)
    P. Myers (3)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +22 pts
    4-3
    16:36
  5. WSH
    N. Backstrom(6)
    A. Ovechkin (7), T. Wilson (7)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +23 pts
    4-4
    19:03

3rd period

  1. PHI
    S. Couturier(1)
    M. Raffl (2), J. Braun (1)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +24 pts
    5-4
    0:31
  2. PHI
    S. Laughton(4)
    J. Farabee (6), M. Raffl (3)
    wristxG 0.28win prob +9 pts
    6-4
    17:51
  3. PHI
    S. Couturier(2)EN
    I. Provorov (5), J. Voracek (9)
    wristxG 0.52win prob +1 pts
    7-4
    18:38

Penalties

PHI 2 PIM·WSH 8 PIM

1st

  • 10:48PHIserved by N. Aube-Kubel · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 4:38WSHNic Dowd · Interferencedrawn by Kevin Hayes2 min
  • 13:17WSHRichard Panik · Trippingdrawn by Joel Farabee2 min

3rd

  • 3:14WSHZdeno Chara · High sticking double minordrawn by Sean Couturier4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalPHI goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Sean Couturier, 3rd 0:31 — PHI 47% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.16T. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.15N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.15A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.15N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.14N. Backstrom · Goal · xG 0.12C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.12L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.11T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.11B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.10L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.10J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.09A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.09N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.08R. Panik · Missed · xG 0.07N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.06P. Maillet · Missed · xG 0.06G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.06P. Maillet · Missed · xG 0.06N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.06T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.06P. Maillet · On goal · xG 0.05N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.04T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.03J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.03D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.03T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.03G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.03R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.02L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.02D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.02C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Chara · Missed · xG 0.02N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.02B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.02T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.02N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01C. Hagelin · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Chara · Missed · xG 0.01T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Chara · On goal · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.01C. Hagelin · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.00D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH4 G · 2.7 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsWSH
2.86 G
All situations
4 G2.7
2.16 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI42%58%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.24 – 2.69

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsWSH
23
Shots on goal
37
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/4
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
8
11
Hits
21
10
Blocked shots
13
9
Giveaways
9
7
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD011+310.00310—24:13
5P. MyersD011-120.03120—21:17
53S. GostisbehereD000+120.05200—20:24
56E. GustafssonD011+210.04020—19:27
25J. van RiemsdykL112+220.20000—18:26
93J. VoracekR011000.00000—18:05
61J. BraunD011+300.05030—17:33
28C. GirouxR000000.080007516:23
86J. FarabeeL033+330.17000—16:05
11T. KonecnyR000010.05000—16:02
14S. CouturierC213+420.651004515:54
13K. HayesR000030.241003315:41
21S. LaughtonC303+230.821003815:18
23O. LindblomL000-200.05110—13:41
12M. RafflL022+400.11000—13:40
19N. PatrickC000-200.110007813:07
8R. HaggD101030.12110—12:57
62N. Aube-KubelR011+100.01000—11:24
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Hart(W)37334.8922.71-1.2960:00

Season series

WSH leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).