Edmonton Oilers at Winnipeg Jets
Recap
written from the game dataThe Edmonton Oilers beat the Winnipeg Jets 3-1. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Blake Wheeler's goal at 4:29 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 36% to 53%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.6 to 1.9; shots on goal were EDM 27, WPG 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Mikko Koskinen stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 24 of 26 (.923), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (3 A), 2. Blake Wheeler (1 G), 3. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★C. McDavid3 A

- ★★B. Wheeler1 G

- ★★★R. Nugent-Hopkins1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals1st period
1-010:52
2nd period
1-14:29
2-16:20
3rd period
3-119:51
Penalties
1st
- 9:21
Blake Wheeler · Trippingdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min
2nd
- 6:08
Blake Wheeler · High sticking double minordrawn by Ethan Bear4 min
3rd
- 15:13
Kailer Yamamoto · Slashingdrawn by Mathieu Perreault2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Blake Wheeler, 2nd 4:29 — 36% → 53%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.62 G
- All situations
- 1 G1.9
- 2.30 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.7
- 0.32 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.2
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.58 – 1.83
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 27
- Shots on goal
- 30
- 46%
- Faceoffs
- 54%
- 2/3
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 24
- Hits
- 38
- 13
- Blocked shots
- 20
- 8
- Giveaways
- 9
- 10
- Takeaways
- 9
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
