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Hurricanes at Stars
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸5
Dallas Stars
1
FinalTV ESPN+, BSSW+·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Dallas Stars 5-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sebastian Aho's goal at 8:09 of the first period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 59% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.1 to 1.9; shots on goal were CAR 30, DAL 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Anton Khudobin stopped 25 of 30 (.833), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jordan Staal (2 G, 1 A), 2. Sebastian Aho (1 G, 2 A), 3. Andrei Svechnikov (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Staal2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    S. Aho1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    A. Svechnikov3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR2151728530
DALDAL0711308128

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    J. Staal(15)PPG
    S. Aho (27), A. Svechnikov (21)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +10 pts
    1-0
    7:08
  2. CAR
    S. Aho(21)
    B. Pesce (20), A. Svechnikov (22)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    8:09

2nd period

  1. CAR
    J. Staal(16)PPG
    S. Aho (28), A. Svechnikov (23)
    snapxG 0.26win prob +10 pts
    3-0
    1:13
  2. DAL
    J. Robertson(15)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.15win prob +10 pts
    3-1
    7:45

3rd period

  1. CAR
    M. McCormick(2)
    M. Geekie (5), S. Lorentz (5)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +6 pts
    4-1
    5:18
  2. CAR
    N. Niederreiter(18)
    J. Staal (21), W. Foegele (9)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +1 pts
    5-1
    12:14

Penalties

CAR 6 PIM·DAL 6 PIM

1st

  • 6:28DALJohn Klingberg · High stickingdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min
  • 11:15CARserved by N. Niederreiter · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 14:20DALBlake Comeau · Interferencedrawn by Jake Bean2 min
  • 19:23DALRadek Faksa · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 5:01CARAndrei Svechnikov · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 7:54CARCedric Paquette · Illegal check to headdrawn by Tanner Kero2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalCAR goalFinal: DAL 0%

Biggest swing: Sebastian Aho, 1st 8:09 — CAR 59% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Robertson · Goal · xG 0.15J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.15J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.13A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.10J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.10A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.10R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.09J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.08D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.08R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.08J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.07R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.06R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.06J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.06R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.05D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.04B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.04R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.04J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.04A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.04M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.03A. Sekera · On goal · xG 0.03J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.03J. Dowling · On goal · xG 0.02A. Sekera · Missed · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.02A. Sekera · Missed · xG 0.02R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.02J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.01D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.01J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.01J. Dowling · Missed · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL1 G · 1.9 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsDAL
3.15 G
All situations
1 G1.9
2.23 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
0.92 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR71%29%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.07 – 1.86

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsDAL
30
Shots on goal
28
45%
Faceoffs
55%
2/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
25
Hits
19
13
Blocked shots
17
5
Giveaways
14
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
19D. HamiltonD000+140.17120—23:19
74J. SlavinD000+210.10010—22:51
22B. PesceD011+120.05010—22:00
20S. AhoC123020.210106319:42
16V. TrocheckC000000.101005017:53
11J. StaalC213+150.653003617:16
24J. BeanD000020.20120—16:53
37A. SvechnikovR033020.20512—16:35
86T. TeravainenC000000.031205016:32
58J. HakanpääD000010.03320—16:12
21N. NiederreiterR101+130.57200—15:08
88M. NecasC000000.02100015:05
51J. GardinerD000000.02010—14:24
18C. PaquetteC000010.0030210014:06
13W. FoegeleL011+140.33000—13:43
78S. LorentzC011+120.200004013:09
67M. GeekieC011+100.08200010:28
28M. McCormickL101+110.16200—08:44
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39A. Nedeljkovic(W)28271.9641.88+0.8860:00

Season series

CAR leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).