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Stars at Hurricanes
NHL

Dallas Stars at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
1
Carolina Hurricanes
▸4
FinalTV FS-CR, FS-SW+·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Dallas Stars 4-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vincent Trocheck's goal at 4:05 of the first period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 54% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.3 to 1.9; shots on goal were DAL 11, CAR 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Anton Khudobin stopped 12 of 16 (.750), 2.6 goals below expected; James Reimer stopped 10 of 11 (.909), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Vincent Trocheck (2 G, 1 A), 2. Martin Necas (2 A), 3. Sebastian Aho (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    V. Trocheck2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    M. Necas2 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    S. Aho2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL060213111
CARCAR2721306426

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    V. Trocheck(3)
    M. Necas (2), S. Lorentz (1)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:05
  2. CAR
    V. Trocheck(4)PPG
    S. Aho (3), J. Staal (2)
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +11 pts
    0-2
    6:55

2nd period

  1. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(4)PPG
    S. Aho (4), V. Trocheck (2)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +6 pts
    0-3
    8:42
  2. CAR
    R. Dzingel(2)PPG
    M. Necas (3), J. Gardiner (3)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +3 pts
    0-4
    10:21

3rd period

  1. DAL
    J. Pavelski(5)PPG
    A. Radulov (3), J. Klingberg (6)
    wristxG 0.40
    1-4
    9:36

Penalties

DAL 10 PIM·CAR 12 PIM

1st

  • 5:53DALJohn Klingberg · Interferencedrawn by Jake Bean2 min
  • 12:02CARSebastian Aho · Cross checkingdrawn by Ty Dellandrea2 min
  • 19:43CARAndrei Svechnikov · Cross checkingdrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min

2nd

  • 1:39DALTy Dellandrea · Trippingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
  • 7:58DALMark Pysyk · Trippingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 8:42DALRadek Faksa · Hookingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 13:07CARJordan Staal · Slashingdrawn by Miro Heiskanen2 min
  • 18:36CARJake Bean · Trippingdrawn by Radek Faksa2 min

3rd

  • 5:55DALJustin Dowling · Slashingdrawn by Morgan Geekie2 min
  • 9:30CARSebastian Aho · Slashingdrawn by Jamie Oleksiak2 min
  • 16:45CARBrock McGinn · High stickingdrawn by Denis Gurianov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalDAL goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Vincent Trocheck, 1st 4:05 — CAR 54% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.32S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.19V. Trocheck · Goal · xG 0.18S. Lorentz · Missed · xG 0.17R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.17V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.16R. Dzingel · Goal · xG 0.16A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.14V. Trocheck · Goal · xG 0.13M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.12V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.12J. Bean · Missed · xG 0.12J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.12S. Rempal · Missed · xG 0.10J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.09N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.09S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.08M. Geekie · Missed · xG 0.08B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.06J. Bean · Missed · xG 0.05M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.05V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.05M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.05J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.05D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.05S. Rempal · On goal · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.04B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.03J. Gardiner · On goal · xG 0.03M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.03B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.03B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bean · On goal · xG 0.01S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.00M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.00J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.00B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.00
CAR4 G · 3.3 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsCAR
1.91 G
All situations
4 G3.3
0.70 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
1.21 G
Power play
3 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL26%74%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.88 – 3.24

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsCAR
11
Shots on goal
26
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/6
Power play
3/5
10
Penalty minutes
12
38
Hits
26
14
Blocked shots
12
11
Giveaways
6
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD000010.06000—23:22
3J. KlingbergD011-100.00132—23:03
23E. LindellD000010.04000—21:00
16J. PavelskiC101030.823205720:04
2J. OleksiakD000000.00520—20:03
24R. HintzC000020.192104618:54
47A. RadulovR011020.24000—18:41
64T. KeroC000010.10200017:03
34D. GurianovR000000.02600—16:28
10T. DellandreaC000000.103023016:21
18J. DickinsonC000000.124104015:34
12R. FaksaC000000.084026315:26
5A. SekeraD000-100.00150—15:07
11A. CoglianoC000010.01300012:04
37J. DowlingC000-100.050022911:35
15B. ComeauL000-100.002005010:57
13M. PysykD000000.01002—10:26
17N. CaamanoR000-100.08200—10:09
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35A. Khudobin(L)16124.7501.44-2.5630:19
29J. Oettinger101001.0001.84+1.8428:47

Season series

CAR leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).