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Boston Bruins at Pittsburgh Penguins

FinalTV NBC, TVAS·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Boston Bruins 1-0. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake Guentzel's goal at 4:03 of the third period, which took the Penguins' chances from 52% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 2.1 to 1.3; shots on goal were BOS 30, PIT 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Jeremy Swayman stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 30 of 30 (1.000), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Guentzel (1 G), 2. Tristan Jarry (30 saves, 1.000), 3. Jeremy Swayman (28 saves, .966).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    J. Guentzel1 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    T. Jarry30 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    J. Swayman28 saves, .966

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS01008012030
PITPIT01001118129

Scoring

1 goal

3rd period

  1. PIT
    snapxG 0.08win prob +26 pts
    0-1
    4:03

Penalties

BOS 2 PIM·PIT 0 PIM

3rd

  • 18:32BOSPatrice Bergeron · High stickingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalBOS goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Jake Guentzel, 3rd 4:03 — PIT 52% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.14K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.12J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.12B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.11J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.11K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.10Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.10J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.09E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.09J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.09T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.08J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.08K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.07C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.07B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.06B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.05J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.05K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.04T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.04K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.04B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.04B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.03J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.03E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.03C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.02S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.02M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01
PIT1 G · 2.1 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsPIT
1.30 G
All situations
1 G2.1
1.20 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS32%68%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.26 – 2.11

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsPIT
30
Shots on goal
29
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/0
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
0
33
Hits
33
14
Blocked shots
8
7
Giveaways
11
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD000020.06010—23:47
6M. ReillyD000-110.03120—21:05
86K. MillerD000-100.00630—20:35
46D. KrejciC000010.042005620:16
48M. GrzelcykD000000.00140—19:44
71T. HallL000000.05320—19:27
88D. PastrnakR000040.20000—18:08
63B. MarchandL000030.12100—17:51
12C. SmithC000040.31100017:36
55J. LauzonD000010.02300—17:04
44S. KampferD000010.02100—16:13
37P. BergeronC000020.140025714:55
20C. LazarC000010.092005014:37
13C. CoyleC000020.04310014:26
74J. DeBruskL000020.07100—13:22
21N. RitchieL000-120.06400—11:49
52S. KuralyC000-120.012002510:12
14C. WagnerR000-120.022105009:15
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1J. Swayman(L)29281.9662.12+1.1258:10

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).