Pittsburgh Penguins at Boston Bruins
Recap
written from the game dataThe Boston Bruins beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 7-5. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Bruins led 5-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brad Marchand's goal at 14:56 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 32% to 53%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 2.5 to 1.9; shots on goal were PIT 28, BOS 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Casey DeSmith stopped 21 of 27 (.778), 4.0 goals below expected; Jaroslav Halak stopped 23 of 28 (.821), 3.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brad Marchand (3 G, 1 A), 2. David Pastrnak (2 G, 1 A), 3. David Krejci (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★B. Marchand3 G, 1 A

- ★★D. Pastrnak2 G, 1 A

- ★★★D. Krejci1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
12 goals1st period
1-03:24
2nd period
1-10:11
1-20:45
2-22:45
3-25:11
3-314:56
3-418:29
3-519:40
3rd period
4-54:38
4-613:28
5-618:45
5-718:59
Penalties
2nd
- 4:45
Charlie McAvoy · Closing hand on puck2 min
- 9:59
Sam Lafferty · Elbowingdrawn by Connor Clifton2 min
- 10:20
Matt Grzelcyk · Trippingdrawn by Cody Ceci2 min
- 15:10
Brad Marchand · Slashingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min
- 15:10
Kris Letang · Roughingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
- 16:53
Evan Rodrigues · Hookingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
3rd
- 17:49
Kris Letang · Hookingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
- 18:49
Patrice Bergeron · High sticking double minordrawn by Sidney Crosby4 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Brad Marchand, 2nd 14:56 — 32% → 53%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.95 G
- All situations
- 6 G2.5
- 1.43 G
- Even strength
- 5 G1.8
- 0.41 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.1
- 0.01 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 68 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.86 – 1.97
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 28
- 40%
- Faceoffs
- 60%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 1/3
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 10
- 25
- Hits
- 28
- 7
- Blocked shots
- 8
- 12
- Giveaways
- 3
- 12
- Takeaways
- 13
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
