Skip to content
Capitals at Islanders
NHL

Washington Capitals at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
▸6
New York Islanders
3
FinalTV ESPN+, MSG+·Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the New York Islanders 6-3. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nic Dowd's goal at 12:21 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 47% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 2.7 to 2.1; shots on goal were WSH 30, NYI 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Ilya Samsonov stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 0.9 goals below expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 24 of 30 (.800), 3.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Evgeny Kuznetsov (1 G, 2 A), 2. Daniel Sprong (2 G), 3. Brenden Dillon (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    E. Kuznetsov1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    D. Sprong2 G
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    B. Dillon2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH21327210630
NYINYI1112805324

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    G. Hathaway(5)
    N. Jensen (11)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:33
  2. WSH
    T. Oshie(17)
    N. Backstrom (34), A. Mantha (12)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    10:55
  3. NYI
    A. Beauvillier(10)PPG
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +12 pts
    2-1
    14:28

2nd period

  1. NYI
    A. Pelech(3)SHG
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.02win prob +19 pts
    2-2
    7:37
  2. WSH
    N. Dowd(9)
    B. Dillon (14), T. van Riemsdyk (1)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +20 pts
    3-2
    12:21
  3. WSH
    D. Sprong(8)
    E. Kuznetsov (18), B. Dillon (15)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +18 pts
    4-2
    14:46
  4. NYI
    J. Pageau(14)PPG
    N. Dobson (11), M. Barzal (26)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    4-3
    17:12

3rd period

  1. WSH
    E. Kuznetsov(9)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    5-3
    7:35
  2. WSH
    D. Sprong(9)
    T. Wilson (18), E. Kuznetsov (19)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +2 pts
    6-3
    14:43

Penalties

WSH 4 PIM·NYI 2 PIM

1st

  • 14:03WSHJohn Carlson · Hookingdrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min

2nd

  • 6:22NYIJordan Eberle · Trippingdrawn by John Carlson2 min
  • 16:34WSHDmitry Orlov · Holdingdrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalWSH goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Nic Dowd, 2nd 12:21 — WSH 47% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.17A. Beauvillier · Goal · xG 0.16B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.15A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.14A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.13J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.13J. Pageau · Goal · xG 0.12A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.10C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.10C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.09J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.08J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.07C. Clutterbuck · Missed · xG 0.07C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.06C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.06M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.06M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.06M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.04K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.04N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.04C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.04N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.03J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.03K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.03A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pelech · Goal · xG 0.02K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.01N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.01
NYI3 G · 2.1 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsNYI
2.76 G
All situations
3 G2.1
2.76 G
Even strength
0 G1.7
0.00 G
Power play
2 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH60%40%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.66 – 2.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsNYI
30
Shots on goal
24
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/1
Power play
2/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
28
Hits
36
12
Blocked shots
12
13
Giveaways
13
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9D. OrlovD000+140.19312—21:32
74J. CarlsonD000010.08102—20:41
3N. JensenD011+130.05120—20:37
33Z. CharaD000+210.02310—19:42
20L. EllerC000010.172003818:59
57T. van RiemsdykD011+310.05020—18:07
73C. ShearyL000-100.08020—17:30
4B. DillonD022+410.07410—17:12
77T. OshieR101020.31000—16:21
39A. ManthaR011020.07100—16:05
17M. RafflL000000.00200—15:55
19N. BackstromC011+100.131005415:06
10D. SprongR202+330.26200—14:23
43T. WilsonR011+320.2421010014:03
26N. DowdC101+220.102007313:40
92E. KuznetsovC123+210.240002713:26
62C. HagelinL000+220.24200—13:24
21G. HathawayR101+240.3822010012:14
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Samsonov(W)24213.8752.14-0.8660:00

Season series

WSH leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).