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Capitals at Islanders
NHL

Washington Capitals at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
0
New York Islanders
▸1
FinalTV MSG+ 2, NBCSWA·Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Washington Capitals 1-0. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brock Nelson's goal at 13:05 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 52% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 4.1 to 2.4; shots on goal were WSH 29, NYI 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Vitek Vanecek stopped 38 of 39 (.974), 3.1 goals saved above expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 29 of 29 (1.000), 2.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Semyon Varlamov (29 saves, 1.000), 2. Brock Nelson (1 G), 3. Vitek Vanecek (38 saves, .974).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    S. Varlamov29 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NYI
    B. Nelson1 G
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    V. Vanecek38 saves, .974

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH07012010029
NYINYI01207120139

Scoring

1 goal

3rd period

  1. NYI
    B. Nelson(14)
    J. Bailey (18), R. Pulock (13)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +35 pts
    0-1
    13:05

Penalties

WSH 4 PIM·NYI 4 PIM

1st

  • 6:02WSHTom Wilson · Trippingdrawn by Jordan Eberle2 min
  • 19:43NYIMathew Barzal · Interferencedrawn by Nic Dowd2 min

2nd

  • 9:29NYIAnthony Beauvillier · Closing hand on puckdrawn by Nicklas Backstrom2 min

3rd

  • 4:34WSHCarl Hagelin · Slashingdrawn by Oliver Wahlstrom2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalWSH goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Brock Nelson, 3rd 13:05 — NYI 52% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.25B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.22B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.22M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.21M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.19B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.18O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.17M. Martin · Missed · xG 0.17M. Martin · Missed · xG 0.17C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.16R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.14S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.13L. Komarov · On goal · xG 0.12M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.11K. Bellows · On goal · xG 0.11N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.10J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.10R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.10J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.10C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.09R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.09O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.07J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.07M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.07J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.06A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.06A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.05L. Komarov · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.05C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.05R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.04S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.04M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.04J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.04N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.03N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.03O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.02N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.02A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.02M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.02C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.02M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.01A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI1 G · 4.1 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsNYI
2.40 G
All situations
1 G4.1
2.10 G
Even strength
1 G3.6
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH25%75%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.42 – 4.06

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsNYI
29
Shots on goal
39
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
26
Hits
32
10
Blocked shots
16
10
Giveaways
4
3
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD000010.02320—25:22
8A. OvechkinL000-120.17400—22:16
9D. OrlovD000010.06320—21:59
2J. SchultzD000030.15210—21:10
92E. KuznetsovC000-120.230003619:52
4B. DillonD000000.00410—18:58
77T. OshieR000010.231006718:52
19N. BackstromC000010.070004417:32
43T. WilsonR000040.42122—17:29
73C. ShearyL000040.41000—16:19
20L. EllerC000010.120106714:59
33Z. CharaD000-140.07110—13:39
13J. VranaL000010.0200010013:15
3N. JensenD000-100.00000—13:07
10D. SprongR000-130.28000—12:46
26N. DowdC000000.041004510:39
21G. HathawayR000000.00400—10:04
62C. HagelinL000010.15202—09:30
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41V. Vanecek(L)39381.9744.12+3.1258:12

Season series

WSH leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).