Philadelphia Flyers at New York Rangers
Recap
written from the game dataThe New York Rangers beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-1. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alexis Lafrenière's goal at 9:24 of the third period, which took the Rangers' chances from 82% to 96%. Expected goals were close — PHI 2.4, NYR 2.4; shots on goal were PHI 27, NYR 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Alex Lyon stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 1.6 goals below expected; Alexandar Georgiev stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alexandar Georgiev (26 saves, .963), 2. Alexis Lafrenière (1 G, 1 A), 3. Pavel Buchnevich (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★A. Georgiev26 saves, .963

- ★★A. Lafrenière1 G, 1 A

- ★★★P. Buchnevich1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
0-16:02
1-16:47
1-27:56
3rd period
1-39:24
1-413:40
Penalties
1st
- 5:11
Kevin Hayes · Hookingdrawn by Brett Howden2 min
- 17:32
Ivan Provorov · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
2nd
- 12:33
Scott Laughton · Fightingdrawn by Kevin Rooney5 min
- 12:33
Kevin Rooney · Fightingdrawn by Scott Laughton5 min
- 14:55
served by F. Chytil · Too many men on the ice2 min
- 15:34
K'Andre Miller · Trippingdrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Alexis Lafrenière, 3rd 9:24 — 82% → 96%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.41 G
- All situations
- 4 G2.4
- 2.01 G
- Even strength
- 3 G1.8
- 0.40 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.3
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.40 – 2.35
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 27
- Shots on goal
- 24
- 60%
- Faceoffs
- 40%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 1/2
- 9
- Penalty minutes
- 9
- 19
- Hits
- 26
- 11
- Blocked shots
- 15
- 11
- Giveaways
- 15
- 5
- Takeaways
- 9
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 4-4
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
