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New York Rangers at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV ESPN+, NBCSP·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Philadelphia Flyers 8-3. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 6-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pavel Buchnevich's goal at 8:53 of the first period, which took the Rangers' chances from 59% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 2.6 to 2.2; shots on goal were NYR 22, PHI 44. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 41 of 44 (.932); Brian Elliott stopped 8 of 11 (.727), 2.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mika Zibanejad (3 G, 3 A), 2. Adam Fox (5 A), 3. Ryan Strome (1 G, 3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad3 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    A. Fox5 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    R. Strome1 G, 3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR373728822
PHIPHI08218118344

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    A. Panarin (21), A. Fox (19)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    8:01
  2. NYR
    snapxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    8:53
  3. NYR
    A. Fox (20), R. Strome (17)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    13:36

2nd period

  1. NYR
    A. Fox (21), R. Strome (18)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +5 pts
    4-0
    0:54
  2. NYR
    R. Strome (19), A. Fox (22)
    slapxG 0.12win prob +2 pts
    5-0
    2:06
  3. NYR
    snapxG 0.02win prob +1 pts
    6-0
    2:42
  4. PHI
    K. Hayes (13), J. Farabee (13)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +1 pts
    6-1
    3:46
  5. PHI
    K. Hayes(10)PPG
    snapxG 0.14win prob +1 pts
    6-2
    13:34

3rd period

  1. NYR
    A. Fox (23), M. Zibanejad (16)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +1 pts
    7-2
    0:33
  2. PHI
    snapxG 0.10win prob +1 pts
    7-3
    1:28
  3. NYR
    wristxG 0.11
    8-3
    18:02

Penalties

NYR 28 PIM·PHI 42 PIM

1st

  • 9:29NYRBrendan Smith · Fightingdrawn by Nicolas Aube-Kubel5 min
  • 9:29PHINicolas Aube-Kubel · Fightingdrawn by Brendan Smith5 min
  • 12:50PHIJustin Braun · Trippingdrawn by Kaapo Kakko2 min
  • 19:12PHIJames van Riemsdyk · Cross checkingdrawn by Ryan Lindgren2 min

2nd

  • 1:15PHISamuel Morin · Roughingdrawn by Julien Gauthier2 min
  • 12:05NYRBrendan Lemieux · Hookingdrawn by Justin Braun2 min
  • 14:28NYRBrendan Smith · Roughingdrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min
  • 19:41NYRJacob Trouba · Holdingdrawn by Nicolas Aube-Kubel2 min

3rd

  • 7:35PHINicolas Aube-Kubel · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Strome2 min
  • 7:35NYRRyan Strome · Roughingdrawn by Nicolas Aube-Kubel2 min
  • 12:35PHISean Couturier · Slashingdrawn by Filip Chytil2 min
  • 18:34PHISamuel Morin · Fightingdrawn by Brendan Lemieux5 min
  • 18:34NYRBrendan Lemieux · Fightingdrawn by Samuel Morin5 min
  • 18:34PHISamuel Morin · Cross checkingdrawn by Brendan Lemieux2 min
  • 18:34PHIScott Laughton · Misconduct10 min
  • 18:34PHIMichael Raffl · Misconduct10 min
  • 18:34NYRKevin Rooney · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalNYR goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Pavel Buchnevich, 1st 8:53 — NYR 59% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Giroux · Goal · xG 0.19K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.17C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.15K. Hayes · Goal · xG 0.14N. Patrick · On goal · xG 0.13C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.13S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.12J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.11S. Couturier · Goal · xG 0.10J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.09S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.08M. Raffl · Missed · xG 0.08J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.07O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.07C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.07T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.07K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.07J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.07T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.07S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.06S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.05N. Patrick · On goal · xG 0.05S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.04I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.04I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.04J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.04P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.03N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.03S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.03C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.03P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.02K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.02T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.01P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.01J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01P. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.00I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.00I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.00S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI3 G · 2.6 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsPHI
2.28 G
All situations
3 G2.6
1.24 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
1.03 G
Power play
2 G0.8
0.01 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR43%57%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.22 – 2.61

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsPHI
22
Shots on goal
44
50%
Faceoffs
50%
3/5
Power play
2/3
28
Penalty minutes
42
22
Hits
27
18
Blocked shots
8
6
Giveaways
9
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD055+110.13010—21:55
79K. MillerD101+210.02220—21:31
8J. TroubaD011+210.05502—20:50
89P. BuchnevichL202+330.32220—19:05
93M. ZibanejadC336+350.560204218:31
55R. LindgrenD000-110.05030—18:22
25L. HajekD000+110.00110—17:32
10A. PanarinL011+100.16100—17:22
16R. StromeC134+130.261024017:09
20C. KreiderL011+100.02100—16:05
72F. ChytilC101010.110107515:29
42B. SmithD000+300.00407—15:14
24K. KakkoR000+100.05030—13:40
12J. GauthierR000-120.31200—13:26
13A. LafrenièreL011000.00020—13:23
43C. BlackwellC000+100.0020010012:51
17K. RooneyC000020.0401105011:55
48B. LemieuxL011+110.16107—08:24
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(W)44413.9322.62-0.3860:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).