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Blue Jackets at Panthers
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Florida Panthers

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Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 4-2. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Radko Gudas's goal at 14:03 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 73% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.8 to 2.1; shots on goal were CBJ 36, FLA 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 35 of 38 (.921); Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 34 of 36 (.944). Three stars: 1. Frank Vatrano (2 G), 2. Sam Bennett (1 G), 3. Anthony Duclair (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    F. Vatrano2 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Bennett1 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    A. Duclair2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ01419113236
FLAFLA11221918439

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.22win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    11:40

2nd period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    0:59
  2. CBJ
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    13:22
  3. FLA
    slapxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    14:03

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    2-3
    8:01
  2. FLA
    wristxG 0.48win prob +6 pts
    2-4
    18:38

Penalties

CBJ 21 PIM·FLA 31 PIM

1st

  • 7:36FLAAleksander Barkov · Trippingdrawn by Stefan Matteau2 min
  • 16:38CBJAlexandre Texier · Holdingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min

2nd

  • 12:27CBJGavin Bayreuther · Roughingdrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min
  • 12:27CBJGavin Bayreuther · Fightingdrawn by Sam Bennett5 min
  • 12:27FLASam Bennett · Instigatordrawn by Gavin Bayreuther2 min
  • 12:27FLASam Bennett · Fightingdrawn by Gavin Bayreuther5 min
  • 12:27FLASam Bennett · Instigator misconduct10 min
  • 14:03CBJserved by J. Roslovic · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 15:27FLANikita Gusev · Hookingdrawn by Alexandre Texier2 min

3rd

  • 12:30CBJVladislav Gavrikov · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Frank Vatrano0 min
  • 18:38FLAPatric Hornqvist · Misconduct10 min
  • 18:38CBJPatrik Laine · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalCBJ goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Radko Gudas, 2nd 14:03 — FLA 73% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Vatrano · Goal · xG 0.48F. Vatrano · Goal · xG 0.22F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.21S. Bennett · Goal · xG 0.16S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.16N. Gusev · On goal · xG 0.16P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.15F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.15S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.15A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.14O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.12M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.11J. Lammikko · On goal · xG 0.11A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.10A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.09S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.09J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.08M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.08M. Nutivaara · Missed · xG 0.07N. Gusev · On goal · xG 0.07A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.07B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.06M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.06M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.06N. Gusev · On goal · xG 0.06A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.05F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.05F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.05M. Nutivaara · On goal · xG 0.05F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.04S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.03R. Gudas · Goal · xG 0.03A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.03A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02M. Nutivaara · On goal · xG 0.02M. Nutivaara · On goal · xG 0.02M. Nutivaara · On goal · xG 0.02F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.02A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.02A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.01A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.01M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.01A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.01
FLA4 G · 3.8 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsFLA
2.12 G
All situations
3 G3.8
1.62 G
Even strength
3 G2.9
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ29%71%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.03 – 3.24

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsFLA
36
Shots on goal
39
37%
Faceoffs
63%
0/2
Power play
0/2
21
Penalty minutes
31
24
Hits
25
8
Blocked shots
15
8
Giveaways
20
10
Takeaways
17

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3S. JonesD011-160.16100—27:49
15M. Del ZottoD000010.15500—26:39
13C. AtkinsonR011-130.18000—23:16
96J. RoslovicC000-310.140203521:01
28O. BjorkstrandR101-240.17000—20:51
42A. TexierL000-140.280023318:56
29P. LaineL000-110.151010—18:52
23S. MatteauC000000.00110017:23
43M. LehtonenD000-230.07000—17:18
2A. PeekeD011+100.00220—16:21
44V. GavrikovD000-200.00210—14:27
7G. BayreutherD000+110.05107—13:17
50E. RobinsonL011010.12100—13:16
26Z. DalpeC101060.401106713:09
11K. StenlundC000+110.090005011:32
21J. DunneC000010.011103308:56
88K. SherwoodR000-120.06800—08:08
49R. MacInnisC000010.03000006:43
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
90E. Merzlikins(L)38353.9213.29+0.2958:06

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).